bayesRatings

Canucks at Kings

NHL · Saturday, Nov 29 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final VAN 1 – LA 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
VAN01001
LA10012
Team box
VAN·LA
20
shots
23
0 of 3
power play
0 of 4
53.4
faceoff %
46.6
16
hits
14
13
blocked shots
11
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Kevin LankinenVAN2321.913
Anton ForsbergLA2019.950

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LA +3
VAN +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: LA 1 · VAN 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was VAN 38%, LA 62% · Updated Nov 29, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.7
Expected score
LA 3.2 – 2.5 VAN
Expected total
5.8
CanucksThe matchupKings
+164Our fair odds−164
2.5Expected goals3.2
−0.14Power rating+0.13
3.1Goals / game2.8
3.7Allowed / game2.9
27.0Shots / game29.0
47.1Faceoff %49.3
21.2Hits / game17.1
10−15Season record11−13
3−7Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
VAN chance · LA chance
Our model fair37.8%62.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
VANVancouver Canucks+16438%————
LALos Angeles Kings−16462%————
SpreadLA by 0.7
VANVancouver Canucks+0.7our margin————
LALos Angeles Kings−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our total————
Under5.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.7 expected
Vancouver Canucks by 6 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 5 goals: 1%Vancouver Canucks by 4 goals: 3%Vancouver Canucks by 3 goals: 7%Vancouver Canucks by 2 goals: 7%Vancouver Canucks by 1 goal: 19%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 24%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 12%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 15%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 8%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%
← VAN wins byLA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more38%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more27%
Vancouver Canucks wins by 2 or more19%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.549%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
VANKevin Lankinen G · last 5 starts: .881 save %, 3.49 GAAstarted
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .898 save %, 2.56 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
VAN·LA
Nov 28, 2025 at SJ
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at ANA
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 24+ games
VAN·LA
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.13
3.1
goals / game
2.8
3.7
goals allowed / game
2.9
10−15
season record
11−13
3−8
home record
2−7
7−7
away record
9−6
L1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
27.0
shots / game
29.0
47.1
faceoff %
49.3
21.2
hits / game
17.1
15.7
blocked shots / game
13.6
4.1
takeaways / game
4.2
14.9
giveaways / game
16.6

Rating Trend

VAN · LA · 46 days
Vancouver CanucksLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LA 6−4
Feb 26, 2025at LAVAN 3 − 2 OT
Jan 16, 2025at VANLA 5 − 1
Nov 7, 2024at LAVAN 4 − 2
Apr 6, 2024at LALA 6 − 3
Mar 25, 2024at VANLA 3 − 2
Mar 5, 2024at LAVAN 2 − 1 OT
Feb 29, 2024at VANLA 5 − 1
Apr 10, 2023at LALA 3 − 0
Apr 2, 2023at VANLA 4 − 1
Mar 18, 2023at LAVAN 3 − 2 SO

VAN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 28, 2025at SJ2 − 3L
Nov 26, 2025at ANA5 − 4W
Nov 23, 2025vs CGY2 − 5L
Nov 20, 2025vs DAL2 − 4L
Nov 17, 2025at FLA5 − 8L
Nov 16, 2025at TB6 − 2W
Nov 14, 2025at CAR3 − 4L
Nov 11, 2025vs WPG3 − 5L
Nov 9, 2025vs COL4 − 5L
Nov 8, 2025vs CBJ4 − 3W

LA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Nov 28, 2025at ANA4 − 5L
Nov 24, 2025vs OTT2 − 1W
Nov 21, 2025vs BOS1 − 2L
Nov 20, 2025at SJ3 − 4L
Nov 17, 2025at WSH1 − 2L
Nov 15, 2025at OTT1 − 0W
Nov 13, 2025at TOR4 − 3W
Nov 11, 2025at MTL5 − 1W
Nov 9, 2025at PIT3 − 2W
Nov 6, 2025vs FLA2 − 5L