bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Canucks

NHL · Saturday, Nov 8 · 9:00 PM CT · Rogers Arena · Final CBJ 3 – VAN 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ0213
VAN0224
Team box
CBJ·VAN
32
shots
24
0 of 3
power play
0 of 3
59.6
faceoff %
40.4
15
hits
20
11
blocked shots
16
21
penalty minutes
10
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ2420.833
Kevin LankinenVAN3229.906

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
VAN +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: VAN 1 · CBJ 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 45%, VAN 55% · Updated Nov 8, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
VAN 3.1 – 2.9 CBJ
Expected total
6.1
Blue JacketsThe matchupCanucks
+124Our fair odds−124
2.9Expected goals3.1
+0.00Power rating−0.05
3.2Goals / game2.8
3.2Allowed / game3.3
32.8Shots / game27.1
50.4Faceoff %45.7
20.7Hits / game22.9
7−6Season record7−8
6−4Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · VAN chance
Our model fair44.7%55.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+12445%————
VANVancouver Canucks−12455%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.2our margin————
VANVancouver Canucks−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 5%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 9%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 18%Vancouver Canucks by 1 goal: 24%Vancouver Canucks by 2 goals: 10%Vancouver Canucks by 3 goals: 12%Vancouver Canucks by 4 goals: 6%Vancouver Canucks by 5 goals: 2%Vancouver Canucks by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byVAN wins by →
Vancouver Canucks wins by 2 or more31%
Vancouver Canucks wins by 3 or more21%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJElvis Merzlikins G · last 5 starts: .915 save %, 2.78 GAAstarted
VANKevin Lankinen G · last 5 starts: .879 save %, 3.53 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·VAN
Nov 5, 2025 at CGY
last game
Nov 5, 2025 vs CHI
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
CBJ·VAN
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
3.2
goals / game
2.8
3.2
goals allowed / game
3.3
7−6
season record
7−8
3−3
home record
2−4
4−3
away record
5−4
L2
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
4−6
32.8
shots / game
27.1
50.4
faceoff %
45.7
20.7
hits / game
22.9
13.6
blocked shots / game
16.3
4.6
takeaways / game
4.1
16.3
giveaways / game
16.1

Rating Trend

CBJ · VAN · 26 days
Columbus Blue JacketsVancouver Canucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · VAN 4−4
Mar 28, 2025at CBJCBJ 7 − 6 SO
Dec 6, 2024at VANVAN 5 − 2
Jan 27, 2024at VANVAN 5 − 4 OT
Jan 15, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO
Jan 27, 2023at VANVAN 5 − 2
Oct 18, 2022at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 OT
Dec 14, 2021at VANVAN 4 − 3
Nov 26, 2021at CBJCBJ 4 − 2

CBJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Nov 5, 2025at CGY1 − 5L
Nov 2, 2025at NYI2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs STL3 − 2W
Oct 29, 2025vs TOR6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at BUF4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025at PIT5 − 4W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH1 − 5L
Oct 21, 2025at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs TB3 − 2W
Oct 16, 2025vs COL1 − 4L

VAN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 5, 2025vs CHI2 − 5L
Nov 3, 2025at NSH5 − 4W
Nov 1, 2025at MIN2 − 5L
Oct 30, 2025at STL4 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025vs NYR0 − 2L
Oct 26, 2025vs EDM4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025vs MTL3 − 4L
Oct 23, 2025at NSH1 − 2L
Oct 21, 2025at PIT1 − 5L
Oct 19, 2025at WSH4 − 3W