bayesRatings

Kings at Kraken

NHL · Wednesday, Dec 10 · 9:00 PM CT · Climate Pledge Arena · Final LA 2 – SEA 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
LA01102
SEA01113
Team box
LA·SEA
26
shots
33
1 of 5
power play
3 of 7
52.2
faceoff %
47.8
18
hits
18
18
blocked shots
14
14
penalty minutes
10
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Anton ForsbergLA3330.909
Joey DaccordSEA2624.923

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SEA +3
LA +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: SEA 1 · LA 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 53%, SEA 47% · Updated Dec 10, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.7
Expected score
LA 3.1 – 2.4 SEA
Expected total
5.5
KingsThe matchupKraken
−115Our fair odds+115
3.1Expected goals2.4
+0.13Power rating−0.19
2.8Goals / game2.5
2.7Allowed / game3.1
28.6Shots / game24.7
49.4Faceoff %46.1
17.0Hits / game18.8
14−15Season record11−16
4−6Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · SEA chance
Our model fair53.4%46.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings−11553%————
SEASeattle Kraken+11547%————
SpreadLA by 0.7
LALos Angeles Kings−0.7our margin————
SEASeattle Kraken+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.5
Over5.5our total————
Under5.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.7 expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 8%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 15%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 12%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 18%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 25%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 7%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 6%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 3%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 1%Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%
← LA wins bySEA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more40%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more28%
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.5 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 4%3 goals: 16%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 16%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.567%
Total over 5.544%
Total over 6.533%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .907 save %, 1.96 GAAstarted
SEAJoey Daccord G · last 5 starts: .899 save %, 2.58 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·SEA
Dec 8, 2025 at UTAH
last game
Dec 8, 2025 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
LA·SEA
+0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
2.8
goals / game
2.5
2.7
goals allowed / game
3.1
14−15
season record
11−16
4−9
home record
6−8
10−6
away record
5−8
W2
streak
L6
4−6
last 10
3−7
28.6
shots / game
24.7
49.4
faceoff %
46.1
17.0
hits / game
18.8
13.4
blocked shots / game
15.6
4.2
takeaways / game
4.6
16.6
giveaways / game
16.0

Rating Trend

LA · SEA · 57 days
Los Angeles KingsSeattle Kraken
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SEA 5−5
Apr 15, 2025at SEALA 6 − 5
Apr 7, 2025at LASEA 2 − 1
Jan 18, 2025at SEASEA 4 − 2
Nov 23, 2024at LALA 2 − 1
Apr 3, 2024at LALA 5 − 2
Dec 20, 2023at LASEA 2 − 1
Dec 16, 2023at SEALA 3 − 2 SO
Apr 1, 2023at SEALA 3 − 1
Nov 29, 2022at LASEA 9 − 8 OT
Nov 19, 2022at SEASEA 3 − 2 OT

LA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 8, 2025at UTAH4 − 2W
Dec 6, 2025vs CHI6 − 0W
Dec 4, 2025vs CHI1 − 2L
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH1 − 3L
Nov 29, 2025vs VAN2 − 1W
Nov 28, 2025at ANA4 − 5L
Nov 24, 2025vs OTT2 − 1W
Nov 21, 2025vs BOS1 − 2L
Nov 20, 2025at SJ3 − 4L
Nov 17, 2025at WSH1 − 2L

SEA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L6
Dec 8, 2025vs MIN1 − 4L
Dec 6, 2025vs DET3 − 4L
Dec 4, 2025at EDM4 − 9L
Nov 29, 2025vs EDM0 − 4L
Nov 26, 2025vs DAL2 − 3L
Nov 23, 2025at NYI0 − 1L
Nov 22, 2025at PIT3 − 2W
Nov 20, 2025at CHI3 − 2W
Nov 18, 2025at DET2 − 4L
Nov 15, 2025vs SJ4 − 1W