bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Hurricanes

NHL · Thursday, Oct 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · Final CBJ 2 – CAR 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ0022
CAR1113
Team box
CBJ·CAR
26
shots
27
1 of 3
power play
0 of 2
51.5
faceoff %
48.5
27
hits
16
16
blocked shots
14
4
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ2724.889
Pyotr KochetkovCAR2624.923

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CAR +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CAR 3 · CBJ 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 31%, CAR 69% · Updated Oct 29

Expected margin
CAR by 1.3
Expected score
CAR 3.6 – 2.4 CBJ
Expected total
6.0
Blue JacketsThe matchupHurricanes
+222Our fair odds−222
2.4Expected goals3.6
−0.06Power rating+0.60
2.6Goals / game3.8
3.3Allowed / game2.4
25.4Shots / game33.6
55.0Faceoff %50.1
22.6Hits / game21.9
5−5Season record10−4
5−5Last 108−2
—OutAlexander Nikishin · Taylor Hall
Jordan Staal

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · CAR chance
Our model fair31.1%68.9%
Kalshi32.5%72.4%
Polymarket US32.5%71.5%
ProphetX31.7%71.2%
Novig30.0%70.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:57 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+22231%+20832.5%+20832.5%+21631.7%+23330.0%
CARCarolina Hurricanes−22269%−26372.4%−25071.5%−24771.2%−23970.5%
SpreadCAR by 1.3
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+1.3our margin+1.5 −11653.7%+1.5 −11653.7%+1.5 −11152.7%+1.5 −10852.0%
CARCarolina Hurricanes−1.3our margin−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 +10249.6%−1.5 +10648.5%
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our totalo5.5 −13757.7%o5.5 −13657.7%o5.5 −13156.6%o5.5 −12756.0%
Under6.0our totalu5.5 +11446.7%u5.5 +11446.7%u5.5 +11746.1%u5.5 +12245.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 1.3 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 5%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 5%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 17%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 13%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 18%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 11%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 5%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more49%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more36%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more13%
Decided by one goal38%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.524%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .878 save %, 3.51 GAAstarted
CARPyotr Kochetkov G · last 5 starts: .921 save %, 1.60 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·CAR
Oct 27 at PHI
last game
Oct 27 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Injury list before the game · Oct 29, 2026, 4:40 PM CT
CARAlexander Nikishin · not injury related, back about Nov 7Out
CARTaylor Hall · upper body, back about Nov 3Out
CARJordan Staal · calf, back about Dec 3IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
CBJ·CAR
−0.06
rating (0 = average)
+0.60
2.6
goals / game
3.8
3.3
goals allowed / game
2.4
5−5
season record
10−4
4−3
home record
3−2
1−2
away record
7−2
W2
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
8−2
25.4
shots / game
33.6
55.0
faceoff %
50.1
22.6
hits / game
21.9
15.4
blocked shots / game
11.9
4.9
takeaways / game
4.9
16.5
giveaways / game
17.0

Rating Trend

CBJ · CAR · 30 days
Columbus Blue JacketsCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CAR 6−4
Apr 2at CARCAR 5 − 1
Mar 31at CBJCAR 5 − 2
Mar 17at CBJCBJ 5 − 1
Dec 9, 2025at CARCAR 4 − 1
Jan 23, 2025at CARCAR 7 − 4
Dec 31, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 3 SO
Dec 15, 2024at CARCAR 4 − 1
Nov 23, 2024at CBJCBJ 5 − 4 SO
Apr 16, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 3
Apr 7, 2024at CARCAR 3 − 0

CBJ · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Oct 27at PHI4 − 3W
Oct 24vs VGK2 − 1W
Oct 20vs TOR2 − 6L
Oct 18at MIN1 − 2L
Oct 17vs NYR1 − 0W
Oct 13vs FLA3 − 7L
Oct 10at STL3 − 5L
Oct 9vs PIT3 − 2W
Oct 3vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 1vs BUF6 − 3W

CAR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Oct 27vs BOS2 − 1W
Oct 24at STL4 − 0W
Oct 22at EDM5 − 6L
Oct 20at VAN6 − 3W
Oct 18at CGY2 − 3L
Oct 17at WPG3 − 2W
Oct 13vs WSH4 − 2W
Oct 11at PHI4 − 1W
Oct 10at CHI5 − 2W
Oct 8vs VAN7 − 2W