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Jets at Hurricanes

NHL · Sunday, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
CAR by 1.7
Expected score
CAR 3.9 – 2.2 WPG
Expected total
6.1
JetsThe matchupHurricanes
+263Our fair odds−263
2.2Expected goals3.9
−0.12Power rating+0.63
2.5Goals / game3.7
3.2Allowed / game2.4
26.5Shots / game33.2
46.5Faceoff %50.0
23.9Hits / game21.5
4−9Season record11−4
2−8Last 108−2
Garrett Brown C · Josh Morrissey D
Nick Bjugstad COut (3 each)Alexander Nikishin D · Taylor Hall LW
Jordan Staal C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WPG chance · CAR chance
Our model fair27.6%72.4%
Kalshi29.4%75.3%
Polymarket US30.4%73.4%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:19 AM CTPolymarket US4:19 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WPGWinnipeg Jets+26328%+24029.4%+22930.4%——
CARCarolina Hurricanes−26372%−30675.3%−27673.4%——
SpreadCAR by 1.7
WPGWinnipeg Jets+1.7our margin+1.5 −10751.8%+1.5 −11252.7%——
CARCarolina Hurricanes−1.7our margin−1.5 −13757.7%−1.5 −13657.7%——
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our totalo1.5 −1064599.1%o5.5 −13657.7%——
Under6.1our totalu1.5 −204295.3%u5.5 +10149.7%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 1.7 expected
Winnipeg Jets by 8 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 7 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 6 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 5 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 4 goals: 1%Winnipeg Jets by 3 goals: 3%Winnipeg Jets by 2 goals: 4%Winnipeg Jets by 1 goal: 17%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 17%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 14%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 14%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 6%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 2%Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 8 goals: <1%
← WPG wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more57%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more43%
Winnipeg Jets wins by 2 or more9%
Decided by one goal34%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.555%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
WPGStuart Skinner G · last 5 starts: .882 save %, 3.41 GAAexpected
CARPyotr Kochetkov G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 1.60 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WPG·CAR
Oct 30 at FLA
last game
Oct 29 vs CBJ
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Winnipeg Jets
WPGGarrett Brown C · lower bodyIR
WPGJosh Morrissey D · right wrist, back about Nov 1IR
WPGNick Bjugstad C · left pectoral surgery, back about Jan 19, 2027IR
Carolina Hurricanes
CARAlexander Nikishin D · not injury related, back about Nov 7Out
CARTaylor Hall LW · upper body, back about Nov 3Out
CARJordan Staal C · calf, back about Dec 3IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
WPG·CAR
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.63
2.5
goals / game
3.7
3.2
goals allowed / game
2.4
4−9
season record
11−4
2−5
home record
4−2
2−4
away record
7−2
L7
streak
W3
2−8
last 10
8−2
26.5
shots / game
33.2
46.5
faceoff %
50.0
23.9
hits / game
21.5
13.0
blocked shots / game
12.1
4.5
takeaways / game
4.8
16.2
giveaways / game
17.3

Rating Trend

WPG · CAR · 31 days
Winnipeg JetsCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CAR 6−4
Oct 17at WPGCAR 3 − 2
Nov 28, 2025at CARCAR 5 − 1
Nov 21, 2025at WPGCAR 4 − 3
Mar 9, 2025at CARCAR 4 − 2
Feb 4, 2025at WPGWPG 3 − 0
Mar 2, 2024at CARWPG 5 − 3
Dec 4, 2023at WPGWPG 2 − 1
Mar 14, 2023at CARCAR 5 − 3
Nov 21, 2022at WPGWPG 4 − 3 OT
Apr 21, 2022at CARCAR 4 − 2

WPG · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Oct 29at TB4 − 6L
Oct 27vs FLA1 − 5L
Oct 25vs MTL1 − 2L
Oct 22at DAL2 − 3L
Oct 20at STL1 − 2L
Oct 17vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 15at CHI3 − 4L
Oct 13vs MIN5 − 2W
Oct 9vs ANA1 − 5L
Oct 7vs COL3 − 2W

CAR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Oct 29vs CBJ3 − 2W
Oct 27vs BOS2 − 1W
Oct 24at STL4 − 0W
Oct 22at EDM5 − 6L
Oct 20at VAN6 − 3W
Oct 18at CGY2 − 3L
Oct 17at WPG3 − 2W
Oct 13vs WSH4 − 2W
Oct 11at PHI4 − 1W
Oct 10at CHI5 − 2W