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Lakers at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Oct 26 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final LAL 127 – SAC 120
← NBA / Oct 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL36263332127
SAC27352830120
Team box
LAL·SAC
39-80
field goals
45-101
8-25
3-pointers
18-43
41-46
free throws
12-18
47
rebounds
40
26
assists
27
17
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Austin ReavesLAL3951119
Zach LaVineSAC403240
Deandre AytonLAL3622152
DeMar DeRozanSAC402163
Dennis SchroderSAC3518212
Russell WestbrookSAC271866

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +11
LAL +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 4 · LAL 11lead changes: 19

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 49%, SAC 51% · Updated Oct 26, 2025

Expected margin
SAC by 0.9
Expected score
SAC 115.8 – 114.8 LAL
Expected total
230.6
LakersThe matchupKings
+104Our fair odds−104
114.8Expected points115.8
+0.26Power rating+0.06
118.5Points / game110.5
114.5Allowed / game112.0
57.0FG%49.0
33.03P%41.0
38.5Rebounds / game35.0
1−1Season record1−1
4−6Last 105−5
Adou Thiero · Jaxson Hayes
LeBron James · Luka Doncic
Maxi KleberOutKeegan Murray · Nique Clifford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · SAC chance
Our model fair49.0%51.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers+10449%————
SACSacramento Kings−10451%————
SpreadSAC by 0.9
LALLos Angeles Lakers+0.9our margin————
SACSacramento Kings−0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.6
Over230.6our total————
Under230.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 0.9 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%
← LAL wins bySAC wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more43%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more29%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.6 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GGabe Vincentstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
GKeon Ellisstarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·SAC
Oct 24, 2025 vs MIN
last game
Oct 24, 2025 vs UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 26, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left knee; sorenessOut
LALLeBron James · right sciatica; -Out
LALLuka Doncic · left finger; sprain; lower left leg contusionOut
LALMaxi Kleber · abdominal muscle; strainOut
Sacramento Kings
SACKeegan Murray · left thumb; ucl injury recoveryOut
SACNique Clifford · right hamstring; strainOut
SACZach LaVine · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
LAL·SAC
+0.26
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
118.5
points / game
110.5
114.5
points allowed / game
112.0
1−1
season record
1−1
1−1
home record
1−0
0−0
away record
0−1
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
57.0
FG%
49.0
33.0
3P%
41.0
38.5
rebounds / game
35.0
24.5
assists / game
23.5
16.0
turnovers / game
13.0
58.0
points in paint / game
45.0

Rating Trend

LAL · SAC · 6 days
Los Angeles LakersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 5−5
Dec 28, 2024at LALLAL 132 − 122
Dec 21, 2024at SACLAL 103 − 99
Dec 19, 2024at SACLAL 113 − 100
Oct 26, 2024at LALLAL 131 − 127
Mar 13, 2024at SACSAC 120 − 107
Mar 6, 2024at LALSAC 130 − 120
Nov 15, 2023at LALSAC 125 − 110
Oct 29, 2023at SACSAC 132 − 127
Jan 18, 2023at LALSAC 116 − 111
Jan 7, 2023at SACLAL 136 − 134

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 24, 2025vs MIN128 − 110W
Oct 21, 2025vs GS109 − 119L
Apr 30, 2025vs MIN96 − 103L
Apr 27, 2025at MIN113 − 116L
Apr 25, 2025at MIN104 − 116L
Apr 22, 2025vs MIN94 − 85W
Apr 19, 2025vs MIN95 − 117L
Apr 13, 2025at POR81 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs HOU140 − 109W
Apr 9, 2025at DAL112 − 97W

SAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 24, 2025vs UTAH105 − 104W
Oct 22, 2025at PHX116 − 120L
Apr 13, 2025vs PHX109 − 98W
Apr 11, 2025vs LAC100 − 101L
Apr 9, 2025vs DEN116 − 124L
Apr 7, 2025at DET127 − 117W
Apr 6, 2025at CLE120 − 113W
Apr 4, 2025at CHA125 − 102W
Apr 2, 2025at WSH111 − 116L
Mar 31, 2025at IND109 − 111L