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Hawks at Bulls

NBA · Monday, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final ATL 123 – CHI 128
← NBA / Oct 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL35233431123
CHI27304130128
Team box
ATL·CHI
49-98
field goals
48-92
11-32
3-pointers
16-43
14-20
free throws
16-21
36
rebounds
51
32
assists
33
6
turnovers
18
66
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kristaps PorzingisATL262722
Jalen JohnsonATL322563
Trae YoungATL3421317
Ayo DosunmuCHI272132
Josh GiddeyCHI3318135
Onyeka OkongwuATL2918102

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +13
ATL +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 11 · ATL 13lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 44%, CHI 56% · Updated Oct 27, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 1.6
Expected score
CHI 124.0 – 122.4 ATL
Expected total
246.4
HawksThe matchupBulls
+130Our fair odds−130
122.4Expected points124.0
−0.13Power rating−0.10
109.7Points / game112.5
120.7Allowed / game104.5
43.7FG%46.0
32.73P%37.0
40.0Rebounds / game48.0
1−2Season record2−0
5−5Last 108−2
Eli John Ndiaye · Nikola DjurisicOutCoby White · Emanuel Miller
Lachlan Olbrich · Trentyn Flowers
Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · CHI chance
Our model fair43.5%56.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+13044%————
CHIChicago Bulls−13056%————
SpreadCHI by 1.6
ATLAtlanta Hawks+1.6our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 246.4
Over246.4our total————
Under246.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 1.6 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← ATL wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more45%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more30%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

246.4 expected
194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: <1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 2%259 points: 2%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: 1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%309 points: <1%310 points: <1%311 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 236.567%
Total over 246.548%
Total over 256.531%
Total from 237 to 25636%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GTrae Youngstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted
CKristaps Porzingisstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·CHI
Oct 25, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Oct 25, 2025 at ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLJalen Johnson · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
ATLKristaps Porzingis · flu-like; symptomsQuestionable
ATLZaccharie Risacher · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
CHIJosh Giddey · right finger; 4th mcp sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
ATL·CHI
−0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
109.7
points / game
112.5
120.7
points allowed / game
104.5
1−2
season record
2−0
0−2
home record
1−0
1−0
away record
1−0
L1
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
8−2
43.7
FG%
46.0
32.7
3P%
37.0
40.0
rebounds / game
48.0
25.3
assists / game
27.5
16.3
turnovers / game
19.0
49.3
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

ATL · CHI · 7 days
Atlanta HawksChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 6−4
Jan 15, 2025at CHIATL 110 − 94
Dec 26, 2024at ATLATL 141 − 133
Nov 22, 2024at CHICHI 136 − 122
Nov 9, 2024at ATLCHI 125 − 113
Apr 1, 2024at CHIATL 113 − 101
Feb 12, 2024at ATLCHI 136 − 126
Dec 26, 2023at CHICHI 118 − 113
Apr 4, 2023at CHIATL 123 − 105
Jan 23, 2023at CHICHI 111 − 100
Dec 21, 2022at ATLCHI 110 − 108

ATL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 25, 2025vs OKC100 − 117L
Oct 24, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025vs TOR118 − 138L
Apr 13, 2025vs ORL117 − 105W
Apr 11, 2025at PHI124 − 110W
Apr 10, 2025at BKN133 − 109W
Apr 8, 2025at ORL112 − 119L
Apr 6, 2025vs UTAH147 − 134W
Apr 5, 2025vs NY105 − 121L
Apr 2, 2025at DAL118 − 120L

CHI · Last 10

8−2 · streak W5
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L
Apr 6, 2025at CHA131 − 117W
Apr 4, 2025vs POR118 − 113W
Apr 1, 2025vs TOR137 − 118W
Mar 31, 2025at OKC117 − 145L