bayesRatings

Kings at Blackhawks

NHL · Sunday, Oct 26 · 6:00 PM CT · United Center · Final LA 3 – CHI 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
LA0213
CHI1001
Team box
LA·CHI
22
shots
23
0 of 3
power play
0 of 5
44.4
faceoff %
55.6
14
hits
24
8
blocked shots
8
10
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Anton ForsbergLA2322.957
Arvid SoderblomCHI2119.905

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +3
LA +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CHI 1 · LA 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 57%, CHI 43% · Updated Oct 26, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.7
Expected score
LA 3.4 – 2.7 CHI
Expected total
6.1
KingsThe matchupBlackhawks
−131Our fair odds+131
3.4Expected goals2.7
+0.12Power rating−0.43
2.9Goals / game3.1
3.6Allowed / game2.5
30.0Shots / game24.5
49.2Faceoff %46.9
23.0Hits / game20.9
3−6Season record4−4
3−7Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · CHI chance
Our model fair56.8%43.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings−13157%————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+13143%————
SpreadLA by 0.7
LALos Angeles Kings−0.7our margin————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our total————
Under6.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.7 expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 9%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 15%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 12%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 17%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 24%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 7%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 7%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 3%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 1%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%
← LA wins byCHI wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more41%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more29%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more18%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .872 save %, 3.71 GAAstarted
CHIArvid Soderblom G · last 5 starts: .882 save %, 3.33 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·CHI
Oct 25, 2025 at NSH
last game
Oct 23, 2025 at TB
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
LA·CHI
+0.12
rating (0 = average)
−0.43
2.9
goals / game
3.1
3.6
goals allowed / game
2.5
3−6
season record
4−4
0−3
home record
2−2
3−3
away record
2−2
L1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
6−4
30.0
shots / game
24.5
49.2
faceoff %
46.9
23.0
hits / game
20.9
13.4
blocked shots / game
12.2
5.3
takeaways / game
5.6
19.9
giveaways / game
16.6

Rating Trend

LA · CHI · 13 days
Los Angeles KingsChicago Blackhawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 3−7
Mar 20, 2025at CHILA 3 − 1
Mar 3, 2025at CHICHI 5 − 1
Nov 2, 2024at LACHI 4 − 3 SO
Apr 18, 2024at LALA 5 − 4 OT
Mar 19, 2024at LALA 6 − 2
Mar 15, 2024at CHILA 5 − 0
Jan 22, 2023at CHILA 2 − 1
Nov 10, 2022at LALA 2 − 1 OT
Nov 3, 2022at CHICHI 2 − 1 OT
Apr 21, 2022at LALA 4 − 1

LA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 25, 2025at NSH4 − 5L
Oct 23, 2025at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 21, 2025at STL2 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs CAR3 − 4L
Oct 16, 2025vs PIT2 − 4L
Oct 13, 2025at MIN3 − 4L
Oct 11, 2025at WPG2 − 3L
Oct 8, 2025at VGK6 − 5W
Oct 7, 2025vs COL1 − 4L
May 1, 2025at EDM4 − 6L

CHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 23, 2025at TB3 − 2W
Oct 19, 2025vs ANA2 − 1W
Oct 17, 2025vs VAN2 − 3L
Oct 15, 2025at STL8 − 3W
Oct 13, 2025vs UTAH3 − 1W
Oct 11, 2025vs MTL2 − 3L
Oct 9, 2025at BOS3 − 4L
Oct 7, 2025at FLA2 − 3L
Apr 15, 2025at OTT4 − 3W
Apr 14, 2025at MTL4 − 3W