Final Box Score
from the game summary| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| CHI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player | Team | G | A | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandis Vilmanis | FLA | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Ryan Greene | CHI | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Roman Kantserov | CHI | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Lars Eller | FLA | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Seth Jones | FLA | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Goalie | Team | SA | SV | SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | FLA | 21 | 19 | .905 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 33 | 30 | .909 |
For context, not in our forecast.
Game Flow
score marginFor context, not in our forecast.
Final · our forecast was FLA 62%, CHI 38% · Updated Oct 25
Jacob Markstrom · Jonah GadjovichOutBowen Byram
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · NovigFull price table
| Team | Our modelfair | Kalshipre-game · 2:00 PM CT | Polymarket USpre-game · 1:59 PM CT | ProphetXpre-game · 1:59 PM CT | Novigpre-game · 1:59 PM CT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | |||||
| FLAFlorida Panthers | −16162% | −19165.6% | −19165.6% | −18264.5% | −17864.0% |
| CHIChicago Blackhawks | +16138% | +15938.6% | +15938.6% | +16138.3% | +17037.0% |
| SpreadFLA by 0.8 | |||||
| FLAFlorida Panthers | −0.8our margin | −1.5 +12943.7% | −1.5 +12943.7% | −1.5 +13243.2% | −1.5 +13842.0% |
| CHIChicago Blackhawks | +0.8our margin | +1.5 −15460.7% | +1.5 −15460.7% | +1.5 −14559.2% | +1.5 −14459.0% |
| Totalwe expect 6.1 | |||||
| Over | 6.1our total | o6.5 +10947.7% | o6.5 +10548.7% | o6.5 +11147.4% | o6.5 +11746.0% |
| Under | 6.1our total | u6.5 −13156.7% | u6.5 −12655.7% | u6.5 −12856.1% | u6.5 −12255.0% |
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Florida Panthers by 0.8 expectedCentered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Total range
6.1 expectedCentered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Starting Goalies
from the box scoreStarting goalies are part of our forecast.
Rest and Schedule
before this gameFor context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out
Injury list before the game · Oct 25, 2026, 12:40 PM CTFor context, not in our forecast.