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Jets at Panthers

NHL · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:00 PM CT · Amerant Bank Arena · Final WPG 2 – FLA 5
← NHL / Oct 30

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was WPG 35%, FLA 65% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
FLA by 1.0
Expected score
FLA 3.5 – 2.5 WPG
Expected total
6.0
JetsThe matchupPanthers
+185Our fair odds−185
2.5Expected goals3.5
−0.12Power rating+0.03
2.5Goals / game3.0
3.2Allowed / game2.8
26.5Shots / game28.2
46.5Faceoff %47.0
23.9Hits / game32.5
4−9Season record7−6
2−8Last 106−4
Garrett Brown · Josh Morrissey
Nick Bjugstad · Vladislav NamestnikovOut (4 each)Aleksander Barkov · Brad Marchand
Jacob Markstrom · Jonah Gadjovich

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WPG chance · FLA chance
Our model fair35.1%64.9%
Kalshi35.6%68.5%
Polymarket US35.6%68.5%
ProphetX34.9%67.3%
Novig34.0%66.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 5:58 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Moneyline
WPGWinnipeg Jets+18535%+18135.6%+18135.6%+18734.9%+19434.0%
FLAFlorida Panthers−18565%−21868.5%−21868.5%−20667.3%−19966.5%
SpreadFLA by 1.0
WPGWinnipeg Jets+1our margin+1.5 −13156.7%+1.5 −13156.7%+1.5 −13357.0%+1.5 −12255.0%
FLAFlorida Panthers−1our margin−1.5 +10947.7%−1.5 +11047.7%−1.5 +12045.6%−1.5 +12045.5%
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our totalo6.5 +11446.7%o6.5 +11446.7%o6.5 +12045.6%o6.5 +12245.0%
Under6.0our totalu6.5 −14258.7%u6.5 −13657.7%u6.5 −13457.2%u6.5 −13056.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Florida Panthers by 1.0 expected
Winnipeg Jets by 7 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 6 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 5 goals: 1%Winnipeg Jets by 4 goals: 2%Winnipeg Jets by 3 goals: 6%Winnipeg Jets by 2 goals: 6%Winnipeg Jets by 1 goal: 19%Florida Panthers by 1 goal: 21%Florida Panthers by 2 goals: 13%Florida Panthers by 3 goals: 17%Florida Panthers by 4 goals: 10%Florida Panthers by 5 goals: 4%Florida Panthers by 6 goals: 1%Florida Panthers by 7 goals: <1%
← WPG wins byFLA wins by →
Florida Panthers wins by 2 or more45%
Florida Panthers wins by 3 or more32%
Winnipeg Jets wins by 2 or more15%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.524%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WPG·FLA
Oct 29 at TB
last game
Oct 27 at WPG
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Injury list before the game · Oct 30, 2026, 4:40 PM CT
Winnipeg Jets
WPGGarrett Brown · lower body, back about Nov 14IR
WPGJosh Morrissey · right wrist, back about Nov 3IR
WPGNick Bjugstad · left pectoral, back about Mar 11, 2027IR
WPGVladislav Namestnikov · undisclosed, back about Nov 3IR
Florida Panthers
FLAAleksander Barkov · left lower body, back about Nov 27IR
FLABrad Marchand · left leg, back about Nov 21IR
FLAJacob Markstrom · upper body, back about Nov 4IR
FLAJonah Gadjovich · upper body, back about Nov 28IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
WPG·FLA
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
2.5
goals / game
3.0
3.2
goals allowed / game
2.8
4−9
season record
7−6
2−5
home record
2−1
2−4
away record
5−5
L7
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
6−4
26.5
shots / game
28.2
46.5
faceoff %
47.0
23.9
hits / game
32.5
13.0
blocked shots / game
10.5
4.5
takeaways / game
3.7
16.2
giveaways / game
16.8

Rating Trend

WPG · FLA · 31 days
Winnipeg JetsFlorida Panthers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · FLA 4−6
Oct 27at WPGFLA 5 − 1
Jan 31at FLAWPG 2 − 1
Jan 22at WPGFLA 2 − 1 SO
Nov 19, 2024at WPGWPG 6 − 3
Nov 16, 2024at FLAFLA 5 − 0
Nov 24, 2023at FLAWPG 3 − 0
Oct 14, 2023at WPGWPG 6 − 4
Mar 11, 2023at FLAWPG 5 − 4 OT
Dec 6, 2022at WPGWPG 5 − 2
Apr 15, 2022at FLAFLA 6 − 1

WPG · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Oct 29at TB4 − 6L
Oct 27vs FLA1 − 5L
Oct 25vs MTL1 − 2L
Oct 22at DAL2 − 3L
Oct 20at STL1 − 2L
Oct 17vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 15at CHI3 − 4L
Oct 13vs MIN5 − 2W
Oct 9vs ANA1 − 5L
Oct 7vs COL3 − 2W

FLA · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 27at WPG5 − 1W
Oct 25at CHI3 − 2W
Oct 22at PIT0 − 4L
Oct 21at OTT1 − 5L
Oct 17vs SEA8 − 3W
Oct 15vs VAN3 − 2W
Oct 13at CBJ7 − 3W
Oct 12at BUF3 − 5L
Oct 10vs MIN1 − 4L
Oct 6at LA2 − 1W