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Oilers at Devils

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Prudential Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NJ 3.4 – 2.9 EDM
Expected total
6.3
OilersThe matchupDevils
+137Our fair odds−137
2.9Expected goals3.4
+0.13Power rating+0.01
4.3Goals / game3.3
3.3Allowed / game2.9
26.2Shots / game32.7
49.4Faceoff %50.4
26.5Hits / game16.9
9−4Season record8−5
7−3Last 107−3
Alec Regula D · Devon Levi G
Frederik Andersen G · Matt Savoie C
Mattias Janmark C
OutSeamus Casey D

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
EDM chance · NJ chance
Our model fair42.3%57.7%
Kalshi46.7%60.7%
Polymarket US46.7%61.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:32 AM CTPolymarket US4:31 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
EDMEdmonton Oilers+13742%+11446.7%+11446.7%——
NJNew Jersey Devils−13758%−15460.7%−16161.7%——
Spreadabout even
EDMEdmonton Oilers+0.4our margin—+2.5 −1063999.1%——
NJNew Jersey Devils−0.4our margin—−2.5 +11047.7%——
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total—o7.5 +10149.7%——
Under6.3our total—u7.5 −257996.3%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Edmonton Oilers by 6 goals: <1%Edmonton Oilers by 5 goals: 1%Edmonton Oilers by 4 goals: 4%Edmonton Oilers by 3 goals: 9%Edmonton Oilers by 2 goals: 8%Edmonton Oilers by 1 goal: 19%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 23%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 11%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 13%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 7%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 3%New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: 1%
← EDM wins byNJ wins by →
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more35%
New Jersey Devils wins by 3 or more24%
Edmonton Oilers wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.547%
Total over 7.528%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
EDMTristan Jarry G · last 5 starts: .916 save %, 2.36 GAAexpected
NJConnor Hellebuyck G · last 5 starts: .869 save %, 3.43 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
EDM·NJ
Oct 28 vs CGY
last game
Oct 30 at VGK
5 days
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Edmonton Oilers
EDMAlec Regula D · undisclosedIR
EDMDevon Levi G · undisclosed, back about Nov 9IR
EDMFrederik Andersen G · knee, back about Dec 30IR
EDMMatt Savoie C · lower body, back about Nov 24IR
EDMMattias Janmark C · undisclosed surgeryIR
EDMZach Hyman LW · neck, back about Nov 3IR
New Jersey Devils
NJSeamus Casey D · knee, back about Nov 21IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
EDM·NJ
+0.13
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
4.3
goals / game
3.3
3.3
goals allowed / game
2.9
9−4
season record
8−5
4−4
home record
6−2
5−0
away record
2−3
W1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
7−3
26.2
shots / game
32.7
49.4
faceoff %
50.4
26.5
hits / game
16.9
14.0
blocked shots / game
12.5
3.5
takeaways / game
4.5
15.8
giveaways / game
16.8

Rating Trend

EDM · NJ · 31 days
Edmonton OilersNew Jersey Devils
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NJ 7−3
Jan 20at EDMNJ 2 − 1
Oct 18, 2025at NJNJ 5 − 3
Mar 13, 2025at NJNJ 3 − 2
Nov 4, 2024at EDMNJ 3 − 0
Dec 21, 2023at NJEDM 6 − 3
Dec 10, 2023at EDMEDM 4 − 1
Nov 21, 2022at NJNJ 5 − 2
Nov 3, 2022at EDMNJ 4 − 3
Mar 19, 2022at EDMEDM 6 − 3
Dec 31, 2021at NJNJ 6 − 5 OT

EDM · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 28vs CGY4 − 0W
Oct 26vs DET3 − 4L
Oct 24vs TOR2 − 7L
Oct 22vs CAR6 − 5W
Oct 20vs MIN4 − 3W
Oct 17at UTAH6 − 2W
Oct 15vs UTAH2 − 4L
Oct 13at LA4 − 1W
Oct 10at SJ3 − 1W
Oct 7at ANA5 − 2W

NJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Oct 28at COL2 − 5L
Oct 27at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 24vs LA3 − 1W
Oct 22vs ANA4 − 1W
Oct 20vs COL4 − 3W
Oct 17at WSH2 − 4L
Oct 15vs NYR7 − 1W
Oct 13at DET5 − 4W
Oct 12vs OTT1 − 4L
Oct 10vs VAN4 − 1W