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Jets at Canadiens

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Bell Centre · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 3

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
MTL by 0.9
Expected score
MTL 3.4 – 2.5 WPG
Expected total
5.9
JetsThe matchupCanadiens
+170Our fair odds−170
2.5Expected goals3.4
−0.12Power rating+0.19
2.5Goals / game3.3
3.2Allowed / game2.9
26.5Shots / game27.5
46.5Faceoff %51.0
23.9Hits / game20.7
4−9Season record8−5
2−8Last 107−3
Garrett Brown C · Josh Morrissey D
Nick Bjugstad COut (3 each)Nick Suzuki C · Ivan Demidov RW
Sam Montembeault G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WPG chance · MTL chance
Our model fair37.0%63.0%
Kalshi41.7%65.6%
Polymarket US40.7%63.6%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:32 AM CTPolymarket US4:31 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WPGWinnipeg Jets+17037%+14041.7%+14640.7%——
MTLMontreal Canadiens−17063%−19165.6%−17563.6%——
SpreadMTL by 0.9
WPGWinnipeg Jets+0.9our margin—−1.5 +15239.6%——
MTLMontreal Canadiens−0.9our margin—+1.5 −1063999.1%——
Totalwe expect 5.9
Over5.9our total—o5.5 −34077.3%——
Under5.9our total—u5.5 −26372.4%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Montreal Canadiens by 0.9 expected
Winnipeg Jets by 6 goals: <1%Winnipeg Jets by 5 goals: 1%Winnipeg Jets by 4 goals: 3%Winnipeg Jets by 3 goals: 6%Winnipeg Jets by 2 goals: 7%Winnipeg Jets by 1 goal: 20%Montreal Canadiens by 1 goal: 21%Montreal Canadiens by 2 goals: 12%Montreal Canadiens by 3 goals: 16%Montreal Canadiens by 4 goals: 9%Montreal Canadiens by 5 goals: 4%Montreal Canadiens by 6 goals: 1%
← WPG wins byMTL wins by →
Montreal Canadiens wins by 2 or more42%
Montreal Canadiens wins by 3 or more30%
Winnipeg Jets wins by 2 or more17%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.9 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.573%
Total over 5.551%
Total over 6.540%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
WPGStuart Skinner G · last 5 starts: .882 save %, 3.41 GAAexpected
MTLJacob Fowler G · last 5 starts: .944 save %, 1.57 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WPG·MTL
Oct 30 at FLA
last game
Oct 29 at DAL
3 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Winnipeg Jets
WPGGarrett Brown C · lower bodyIR
WPGJosh Morrissey D · right wristIR
WPGNick Bjugstad C · left pectoral surgery, back about Jan 19, 2027IR
Montreal Canadiens
MTLNick Suzuki COut
MTLMike Matheson D · lower bodyDay-to-day
MTLIvan Demidov RW · lower bodyIR
MTLSam Montembeault G · lower bodyIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
WPG·MTL
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.19
2.5
goals / game
3.3
3.2
goals allowed / game
2.9
4−9
season record
8−5
2−5
home record
3−3
2−4
away record
5−2
L7
streak
W4
2−8
last 10
7−3
26.5
shots / game
27.5
46.5
faceoff %
51.0
23.9
hits / game
20.7
13.0
blocked shots / game
12.6
4.5
takeaways / game
4.2
16.2
giveaways / game
16.3

Rating Trend

WPG · MTL · 31 days
Winnipeg JetsMontreal Canadiens
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MTL 6−4
Oct 25at WPGMTL 2 − 1
Feb 4at WPGMTL 5 − 1
Dec 3, 2025at MTLMTL 3 − 2 SO
Jan 28, 2025at MTLWPG 4 − 1
Dec 14, 2024at WPGWPG 4 − 2
Dec 18, 2023at WPGMTL 3 − 2 OT
Oct 28, 2023at MTLMTL 4 − 3 SO
Jan 17, 2023at MTLMTL 4 − 1
Nov 3, 2022at WPGWPG 3 − 2 OT
Apr 11, 2022at MTLWPG 4 − 2

WPG · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Oct 29at TB4 − 6L
Oct 27vs FLA1 − 5L
Oct 25vs MTL1 − 2L
Oct 22at DAL2 − 3L
Oct 20at STL1 − 2L
Oct 17vs CAR2 − 3L
Oct 15at CHI3 − 4L
Oct 13vs MIN5 − 2W
Oct 9vs ANA1 − 5L
Oct 7vs COL3 − 2W

MTL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Oct 29at DAL5 − 2W
Oct 27at STL2 − 0W
Oct 25at WPG2 − 1W
Oct 23at CHI4 − 1W
Oct 20vs SJ3 − 4L
Oct 17vs BUF4 − 3W
Oct 14at WSH4 − 5L
Oct 13vs BUF4 − 3W
Oct 10vs DET1 − 0W
Oct 8vs NSH2 − 5L