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Celtics at Pelicans

NBA · Monday, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final BOS 122 – NO 90
← NBA / Oct 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS34312235122
NO2628241290
Team box
BOS·NO
46-95
field goals
28-84
18-53
3-pointers
9-36
12-15
free throws
25-28
54
rebounds
35
25
assists
17
12
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anfernee SimonsBOS322561
Jordan PooleNO342224
Payton PritchardBOS311838
Luka GarzaBOS191661
Jaylen BrownBOS241574
Josh MinottBOS281591

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +32
BOS +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 1 · BOS 32lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 81%, NO 19% · Updated Oct 27, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 12.5
Expected score
BOS 117.1 – 104.6 NO
Expected total
221.7
CelticsThe matchupPelicans
−425Our fair odds+425
117.1Expected points104.6
+1.01Power rating−0.70
108.0Points / game119.0
113.7Allowed / game124.0
43.7FG%44.5
31.03P%34.0
39.0Rebounds / game46.0
0−3Season record0−2
3−7Last 101−9
Jayson Tatum · Max ShulgaOut (2 each)Dejounte Murray · Kevon Looney

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · NO chance
Our model fair81.0%19.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−42581%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+42519%————
SpreadBOS by 12.5
BOSBoston Celtics−12.5our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+12.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.7
Over221.7our total————
Under221.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 12.5 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byNO wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more75%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more59%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.7 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FJosh Minottstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GJordan Poolestarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CYves Missistarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·NO
Oct 26, 2025 at DET
last game
Oct 24, 2025 vs SA
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left hamstring; strain managementQuestionable
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOKevon Looney · left knee; sprainOut
NOZion Williamson · left foot; bone contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
BOS·NO
+1.01
rating (0 = average)
−0.70
108.0
points / game
119.0
113.7
points allowed / game
124.0
0−3
season record
0−2
0−1
home record
0−1
0−2
away record
0−1
L3
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
1−9
43.7
FG%
44.5
31.0
3P%
34.0
39.0
rebounds / game
46.0
17.3
assists / game
22.0
12.3
turnovers / game
15.0
41.3
points in paint / game
63.0

Rating Trend

BOS · NO · 7 days
Boston CelticsNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NO 0−8
Jan 31, 2025at NOBOS 118 − 116
Jan 12, 2025at BOSBOS 120 − 119
Mar 30, 2024at NOBOS 104 − 92
Jan 29, 2024at BOSBOS 118 − 112
Jan 11, 2023at BOSBOS 125 − 114
Nov 18, 2022at NOBOS 117 − 109
Jan 29, 2022at NOBOS 107 − 97
Jan 17, 2022at BOSBOS 104 − 92

BOS · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W
May 12, 2025at NY113 − 121L
May 10, 2025at NY115 − 93W
May 7, 2025vs NY90 − 91L
May 5, 2025vs NY105 − 108L
Apr 29, 2025vs ORL120 − 89W

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Oct 24, 2025vs SA116 − 120L
Oct 22, 2025at MEM122 − 128L
Apr 13, 2025vs OKC100 − 115L
Apr 11, 2025vs MIA104 − 153L
Apr 10, 2025at MIL111 − 136L
Apr 8, 2025at BKN114 − 119L
Apr 6, 2025vs MIL107 − 111L
Apr 4, 2025at LAL108 − 124L
Apr 2, 2025at LAC98 − 114L
Mar 30, 2025vs CHA98 − 94W