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Cavaliers at Pistons

NBA · Monday, Oct 27 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final CLE 116 – DET 95
← NBA / Oct 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE33302726116
DET2417252995
Team box
CLE·DET
39-85
field goals
33-87
11-35
3-pointers
11-34
27-35
free throws
18-27
48
rebounds
48
25
assists
20
20
turnovers
26
54
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE293512
Jarrett AllenCLE252072
Evan MobleyCLE3015115
De'Andre HunterCLE241356
Cade CunninghamDET291254
Ronald Holland IIDET261141

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +35
CLE +35
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 6 · CLE 35lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 66%, DET 34% · Updated Oct 27, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 4.8
Expected score
CLE 118.4 – 113.5 DET
Expected total
231.9
CavaliersThe matchupPistons
−194Our fair odds+194
118.4Expected points113.5
+0.87Power rating−0.04
120.0Points / game115.0
118.7Allowed / game113.0
48.7FG%44.3
38.03P%32.0
37.3Rebounds / game49.7
2−1Season record2−1
5−5Last 104−6
Darius Garland · Lonzo Ball
Max Strus · Nae'Qwan TomlinOutCaris LeVert · Jaden Ivey
Marcus Sasser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · DET chance
Our model fair66.0%34.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−19466%————
DETDetroit Pistons+19434%————
SpreadCLE by 4.8
CLECleveland Cavaliers−4.8our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons+4.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.9
Over231.9our total————
Under231.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 4.8 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%
← CLE wins byDET wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more53%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more38%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.9 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.531%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·DET
Oct 26, 2025 vs MIL
last game
Oct 26, 2025 vs BOS
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgical recoveryOut
CLELonzo Ball · rest - left knee - injury managementOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLENae'Qwan Tomlin · g league - two-wayOut
Detroit Pistons
DETCaris LeVert · left hamstring; injury recoveryOut
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETCade Cunningham · left hip contusion; right facial contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
CLE·DET
+0.87
rating (0 = average)
−0.04
120.0
points / game
115.0
118.7
points allowed / game
113.0
2−1
season record
2−1
1−0
home record
1−0
1−1
away record
1−1
W2
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
4−6
48.7
FG%
44.3
38.0
3P%
32.0
37.3
rebounds / game
49.7
25.3
assists / game
25.7
16.3
turnovers / game
14.7
39.3
points in paint / game
56.7

Rating Trend

CLE · DET · 7 days
Cleveland CavaliersDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 1−9
Mar 28, 2025at DETDET 133 − 122
Feb 5, 2025at DETCLE 118 − 115
Jan 27, 2025at CLECLE 110 − 91
Oct 25, 2024at CLECLE 113 − 101
Mar 1, 2024at DETCLE 110 − 100
Jan 31, 2024at CLECLE 128 − 121
Dec 2, 2023at DETCLE 110 − 101
Nov 17, 2023at CLECLE 108 − 100
Mar 4, 2023at CLECLE 114 − 90
Feb 8, 2023at CLECLE 113 − 85

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L
May 4, 2025vs IND112 − 121L
Apr 28, 2025at MIA138 − 83W
Apr 26, 2025at MIA124 − 87W

DET · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L
Apr 24, 2025vs NY116 − 118L
Apr 21, 2025at NY100 − 94W
Apr 19, 2025at NY112 − 123L
Apr 13, 2025at MIL133 − 140L