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Magic at 76ers

NBA · Monday, Oct 27 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final ORL 124 – PHI 136
← NBA / Oct 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL28323430124
PHI33392935136
Team box
ORL·PHI
45-82
field goals
48-97
8-25
3-pointers
14-33
26-38
free throws
26-32
43
rebounds
39
27
assists
25
13
turnovers
7
62
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI424348
Paolo BancheroORL383275
VJ EdgecombePHI392647
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI4025104
Desmond BaneORL342431
Franz WagnerORL362244

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +15
ORL +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 15 · ORL 2lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 59%, PHI 41% · Updated Oct 27, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 3.1
Expected score
ORL 107.0 – 103.9 PHI
Expected total
210.8
MagicThe matchup76ers
−144Our fair odds+144
107.0Expected points103.9
−0.01Power rating−0.61
110.0Points / game121.0
114.0Allowed / game118.5
44.3FG%46.5
27.33P%42.5
48.0Rebounds / game40.0
1−2Season record2−0
3−7Last 103−7
Colin Castleton · Jamal Cain
Moritz WagnerOutDominick Barlow · Jared McCain
Joel Embiid · Paul George
Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair59.0%41.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−14459%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+14441%————
SpreadORL by 3.1
ORLOrlando Magic−3.1our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 210.8
Over210.8our total————
Under210.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 3.1 expected
Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← ORL wins byPHI wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more48%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more34%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

210.8 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: 1%179 points: 1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 2%196 points: 2%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: <1%243 points: <1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 200.570%
Total over 210.550%
Total over 220.530%
Total from 201 to 22041%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJabari Walkerstarted
CAdem Bonastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·PHI
Oct 25, 2025 vs CHI
last game
Oct 25, 2025 vs CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · not with teamOut
ORLJamal Cain · not with teamOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow; lacerationOut
PHIJared McCain · right thumb; surgery recoveryOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury managementOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHITrendon Watford · left hamstring; injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
ORL·PHI
−0.01
rating (0 = average)
−0.61
110.0
points / game
121.0
114.0
points allowed / game
118.5
1−2
season record
2−0
1−2
home record
1−0
0−0
away record
1−0
L2
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
3−7
44.3
FG%
46.5
27.3
3P%
42.5
48.0
rebounds / game
40.0
18.7
assists / game
26.0
19.0
turnovers / game
14.5
55.3
points in paint / game
38.0

Rating Trend

ORL · PHI · 7 days
Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Jan 12, 2025at ORLORL 104 − 99
Dec 6, 2024at PHIPHI 102 − 94
Dec 4, 2024at PHIORL 106 − 102
Nov 15, 2024at ORLORL 98 − 86
Apr 12, 2024at PHIPHI 125 − 113
Jan 19, 2024at ORLPHI 124 − 109
Dec 27, 2023at ORLPHI 112 − 92
Feb 1, 2023at PHIPHI 105 − 94
Jan 30, 2023at PHIORL 119 − 109
Nov 27, 2022at ORLPHI 133 − 103

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L
Oct 24, 2025vs ATL107 − 111L
Oct 22, 2025vs MIA125 − 121W
Apr 29, 2025at BOS89 − 120L
Apr 27, 2025vs BOS98 − 107L
Apr 25, 2025vs BOS95 − 93W
Apr 23, 2025at BOS100 − 109L
Apr 20, 2025at BOS86 − 103L
Apr 13, 2025at ATL105 − 117L
Apr 11, 2025at IND129 − 115W

PHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025at WSH122 − 103W
Apr 7, 2025at MIA105 − 117L
Apr 5, 2025vs MIN109 − 114L
Apr 3, 2025vs MIL113 − 126L
Apr 1, 2025at NY91 − 105L
Mar 30, 2025vs TOR109 − 127L