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Knicks at Bucks

NBA · Tuesday, Oct 28 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final NY 111 – MIL 121
← NBA / Oct 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY26452020111
MIL27323527121
Team box
NY·MIL
39-92
field goals
43-79
13-40
3-pointers
14-34
20-23
free throws
21-24
45
rebounds
38
24
assists
27
13
turnovers
13
42
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL333787
Jalen BrunsonNY353643
Ryan RollinsMIL262524
Mikal BridgesNY3924116
Landry ShametNY301631
Gary Trent Jr.MIL311133

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +17
NY +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 11 · NY 17lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 48%, MIL 52% · Updated Oct 28, 2025

Expected margin
MIL by 1.4
Expected score
MIL 114.2 – 112.8 NY
Expected total
226.9
KnicksThe matchupBucks
+107Our fair odds−107
112.8Expected points114.2
+0.43Power rating+0.27
110.3Points / game122.7
107.0Allowed / game118.0
40.0FG%51.3
33.73P%38.3
51.0Rebounds / game44.7
2−1Season record2−1
5−5Last 105−5
Miles McBride · Mitchell RobinsonOutKevin Porter Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · MIL chance
Our model fair48.2%51.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+10748%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−10752%————
SpreadMIL by 1.4
NYNew York Knicks+1.4our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.9
Over226.9our total————
Under226.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 1.4 expected
New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%
← NY wins byMIL wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more44%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more30%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

226.9 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.570%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.531%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GLandry Shametstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GGary Trent Jr.started
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FGiannis Antetokounmpostarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·MIL
Oct 26, 2025 at MIA
last game
Oct 26, 2025 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYMiles McBride · personal reasonsOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYGuerschon Yabusele · left knee; sprainQuestionable
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right quad; strainProbable
Milwaukee Bucks
MILKevin Porter Jr. · left ankle; sprainOut
MILCole Anthony · non-covid; illnessProbable
MILGary Trent Jr. · non-covid; illnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
NY·MIL
+0.43
rating (0 = average)
+0.27
110.3
points / game
122.7
107.0
points allowed / game
118.0
2−1
season record
2−1
2−0
home record
1−0
0−1
away record
1−1
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
40.0
FG%
51.3
33.7
3P%
38.3
51.0
rebounds / game
44.7
22.7
assists / game
27.0
16.7
turnovers / game
15.0
38.0
points in paint / game
54.0

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 5−5
Mar 28, 2025at MILNY 116 − 107
Jan 12, 2025at NYNY 140 − 106
Nov 8, 2024at NYNY 116 − 94
Apr 7, 2024at MILNY 122 − 109
Dec 25, 2023at NYNY 129 − 122
Dec 23, 2023at NYMIL 130 − 111
Dec 5, 2023at MILMIL 146 − 122
Nov 3, 2023at MILMIL 110 − 105
Jan 9, 2023at NYMIL 111 − 107
Nov 30, 2022at NYMIL 109 − 103

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W
May 23, 2025vs IND109 − 114L
May 21, 2025vs IND135 − 138L
May 16, 2025vs BOS119 − 81W

MIL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 26, 2025at CLE113 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025at TOR122 − 116W
Oct 22, 2025vs WSH133 − 120W
Apr 29, 2025at IND118 − 119L
Apr 27, 2025vs IND103 − 129L
Apr 25, 2025vs IND117 − 101W
Apr 22, 2025at IND115 − 123L
Apr 19, 2025at IND98 − 117L
Apr 13, 2025vs DET140 − 133W
Apr 11, 2025at DET125 − 119W