bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Oilers

NHL · Monday, Nov 10 · 7:30 PM CT · Rogers Place · Final CBJ 4 – EDM 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
CBJ12104
EDM10315
Team box
CBJ·EDM
22
shots
24
0 of 2
power play
0 of 1
50.9
faceoff %
49.1
11
hits
23
13
blocked shots
27
11
penalty minutes
13
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Jake WalmanEDM214
Connor McDavidEDM205
Boone JennerCBJ114
Adam FantilliCBJ113
Jack RoslovicEDM112
Sean MonahanCBJ101
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ2419.792
Stuart SkinnerEDM2218.818

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
EDM +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: EDM 1 · CBJ 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 40%, EDM 60% · Updated Nov 10, 2025

Expected margin
EDM by 0.7
Expected score
EDM 3.7 – 3.0 CBJ
Expected total
6.7
Blue JacketsThe matchupOilers
+152Our fair odds−152
3.0Expected goals3.7
+0.00Power rating+0.16
3.1Goals / game2.9
3.2Allowed / game3.6
32.7Shots / game28.6
51.1Faceoff %52.6
20.3Hits / game17.1
7−7Season record6−10
6−4Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · EDM chance
Our model fair39.6%60.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+15240%————
EDMEdmonton Oilers−15260%————
SpreadEDM by 0.7
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.7our margin————
EDMEdmonton Oilers−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Edmonton Oilers by 0.7 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 4%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 19%Edmonton Oilers by 1 goal: 21%Edmonton Oilers by 2 goals: 11%Edmonton Oilers by 3 goals: 15%Edmonton Oilers by 4 goals: 9%Edmonton Oilers by 5 goals: 4%Edmonton Oilers by 6 goals: 1%Edmonton Oilers by 7 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byEDM wins by →
Edmonton Oilers wins by 2 or more40%
Edmonton Oilers wins by 3 or more29%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more21%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 18%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .897 save %, 3.22 GAAstarted
EDMStuart Skinner G · last 5 starts: .891 save %, 2.92 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·EDM
Nov 8, 2025 at VAN
last game
Nov 8, 2025 vs COL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
CBJ·EDM
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
3.1
goals / game
2.9
3.2
goals allowed / game
3.6
7−7
season record
6−10
3−3
home record
4−3
4−4
away record
2−7
L3
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
4−6
32.7
shots / game
28.6
51.1
faceoff %
52.6
20.3
hits / game
17.1
13.4
blocked shots / game
15.6
4.6
takeaways / game
4.7
15.9
giveaways / game
15.9

Rating Trend

CBJ · EDM · 28 days
Columbus Blue JacketsEdmonton Oilers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · EDM 3−5
Dec 5, 2024at EDMEDM 6 − 3
Oct 28, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 1
Mar 7, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Jan 23, 2024at EDMEDM 4 − 1
Feb 25, 2023at CBJCBJ 6 − 5
Jan 25, 2023at EDMCBJ 3 − 2 OT
Apr 24, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 2
Dec 16, 2021at EDMEDM 5 − 2

CBJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Nov 8, 2025at VAN3 − 4L
Nov 5, 2025at CGY1 − 5L
Nov 2, 2025at NYI2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs STL3 − 2W
Oct 29, 2025vs TOR6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at BUF4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025at PIT5 − 4W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH1 − 5L
Oct 21, 2025at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 18, 2025vs TB3 − 2W

EDM · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Nov 8, 2025vs COL1 − 9L
Nov 4, 2025at DAL3 − 4L
Nov 3, 2025at STL2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs CHI3 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025vs NYR3 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs UTAH6 − 3W
Oct 26, 2025at VAN3 − 4L
Oct 25, 2025at SEA2 − 3L
Oct 23, 2025vs MTL6 − 5W
Oct 21, 2025at OTT3 − 2W