bayesRatings

Blackhawks at Bruins

NHL · Saturday, Oct 31 · 12:00 PM CT · TD Garden

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
BOS by 1.5
Expected score
BOS 3.9 – 2.5 CHI
Expected total
6.4
BlackhawksThe matchupBruins
+237Our fair odds−237
2.5Expected goals3.9
−0.57Power rating+0.15
2.1Goals / game3.6
3.7Allowed / game2.3
21.6Shots / game25.9
42.7Faceoff %53.6
16.3Hits / game22.0
4−9Season record9−5
4−6Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BOS chance
Our model fair29.7%70.3%
Kalshi39.6%64.6%
Polymarket US33.5%70.5%
ProphetX33.6%68.9%
Novig32.0%69.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshilive · 1:34 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 11:58 AM CTProphetXpre-game · 11:58 AM CTNovigpre-game · 11:58 AM CT
Moneyline
CHIChicago Blackhawks+23730%+15239.6%+19833.5%+19733.6%+21232.0%
BOSBoston Bruins−23770%−18364.6%−23970.5%−22168.9%−22369.0%
SpreadBOS by 1.5
CHIChicago Blackhawks+1.5our margin+1.5 −12154.7%+1.5 −12154.7%+1.5 −12355.3%+1.5 −11553.5%
BOSBoston Bruins−1.5our margin−1.5 +10149.7%−1.5 +10149.7%−1.5 +10748.2%−1.5 +11347.0%
Totalwe expect 6.4
Over6.4our totalo6.5 −11252.7%o6.5 −10751.7%o6.5 −10751.7%o6.5 −10451.0%
Under6.4our totalu6.5 −11252.7%u6.5 −11252.7%u6.5 −10551.2%u6.5 −10250.5%

The game has started: these are each venue’s last pre-game prices, except Kalshi’s moneyline, which is live. Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Bruins by 1.5 expected
Chicago Blackhawks by 7 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 2%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 4%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 5%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 17%Boston Bruins by 1 goal: 19%Boston Bruins by 2 goals: 13%Boston Bruins by 3 goals: 19%Boston Bruins by 4 goals: 12%Boston Bruins by 5 goals: 5%Boston Bruins by 6 goals: 1%Boston Bruins by 7 goals: 1%
← CHI wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Bruins wins by 2 or more52%
Boston Bruins wins by 3 or more39%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more12%
Decided by one goal36%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.4 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 12%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.560%
Total over 6.548%
Total over 7.529%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
CHIArvid Soderblom G · last 5 starts: .846 save %, 4.47 GAAconfirmed
BOSMichael DiPietro G · last 4 starts: .921 save %, 2.04 GAAconfirmed

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BOS
Oct 29 at DET
last game
Oct 29 at STL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Injury list before the game · Oct 31, 2026, 10:40 AM CT
CHIBowen Byram · upper body, back about Oct 31Day-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
CHI·BOS
−0.57
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
2.1
goals / game
3.6
3.7
goals allowed / game
2.3
4−9
season record
9−5
4−4
home record
5−1
0−5
away record
4−4
L1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
7−3
21.6
shots / game
25.9
42.7
faceoff %
53.6
16.3
hits / game
22.0
11.3
blocked shots / game
14.7
4.2
takeaways / game
4.1
18.0
giveaways / game
17.1

Rating Trend

CHI · BOS · 32 days
Chicago BlackhawksBoston Bruins
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 8−2
Jan 17at CHIBOS 5 − 2
Oct 9, 2025at BOSBOS 4 − 3 OT
Apr 10, 2025at BOSCHI 5 − 2
Dec 4, 2024at CHIBOS 4 − 2
Oct 24, 2023at CHIBOS 3 − 0
Oct 11, 2023at BOSBOS 3 − 1
Mar 14, 2023at CHICHI 6 − 3
Nov 19, 2022at BOSBOS 6 − 1
Mar 15, 2022at CHIBOS 2 − 1 OT
Mar 10, 2022at BOSBOS 4 − 3

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at DET1 − 4L
Oct 27vs LA2 − 1W
Oct 25vs FLA2 − 3L
Oct 23vs MTL1 − 4L
Oct 17vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 15vs WPG4 − 3W
Oct 13vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 10vs CAR2 − 5L
Oct 8at NYI1 − 4L
Oct 6vs STL4 − 2W

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak L2
Oct 29at STL1 − 4L
Oct 27at CAR1 − 2L
Oct 24vs SJ6 − 4W
Oct 22vs NSH6 − 0W
Oct 20at DAL2 − 3L
Oct 17at LA4 − 1W
Oct 16at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 13at SJ6 − 3W
Oct 10vs PHI5 − 1W
Oct 8vs UTAH6 − 1W