bayesRatings

Kings at Blackhawks

NHL · Tuesday, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final LA 1 – CHI 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
LA1001
CHI0112
Team box
LA·CHI
26
shots
27
0 of 3
power play
1 of 3
57.9
faceoff %
42.1
28
hits
15
16
blocked shots
13
6
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Anton ForsbergLA2725.926
Spencer KnightCHI2625.962

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +3
LA +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CHI 1 · LA 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 51%, CHI 49% · Updated Oct 27

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
LA 2.9 – 2.8 CHI
Expected total
5.8
KingsThe matchupBlackhawks
−106Our fair odds+106
2.9Expected goals2.8
−0.13Power rating−0.57
2.7Goals / game2.2
3.5Allowed / game3.9
27.1Shots / game21.4
49.3Faceoff %42.6
20.4Hits / game16.2
3−7Season record3−8
3−7Last 103−7
Alex Turcotte · Jakub Dvorak
Jan Jenik · Kevin Fiala
Mats Zuccarello
OutBowen Byram

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · CHI chance
Our model fair51.5%48.5%
Kalshi51.7%52.7%
Polymarket US51.7%52.7%
ProphetX50.5%52.0%
Novig50.0%51.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 7:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings−10651%−10751.8%−10751.7%−10250.5%+10050.0%
CHIChicago Blackhawks+10649%−11252.7%−11252.7%−10852.0%−10451.0%
Spreadabout even
LALos Angeles Kings−0.1our margin+1.5 −27673.4%+1.5 −27673.4%+1.5 −26272.4%+1.5 −25772.0%
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.1our margin−1.5 +22930.4%−1.5 +22930.4%−1.5 +22930.4%−1.5 +24529.0%
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our totalo5.5 −13757.7%o5.5 −13156.7%o5.5 −11954.4%o5.5 −12054.5%
Under5.8our totalu5.5 +11446.7%u5.5 +11047.7%u5.5 +10848.0%u5.5 +11746.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 2%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 6%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 11%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 10%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 22%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 22%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 9%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 10%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 5%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 2%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%
← LA wins byCHI wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more29%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more19%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.571%
Total over 5.549%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .888 save %, 2.81 GAAstarted
CHISpencer Knight G · last 5 starts: .895 save %, 3.22 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·CHI
Oct 26 at NYR
last game
Oct 25 vs FLA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
5th straight road game
home / road
7th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Injury list before the game · Oct 27, 2026, 5:40 PM CT
Los Angeles Kings
LAAlex Turcotte · undisclosed, back about Oct 29IR
LAJakub Dvorak · upper body, back about Oct 31IR
LAJan Jenik · undisclosed, back about Nov 7IR
LAKevin Fiala · left lower leg, back about Oct 31IR
LAMats Zuccarello · upper body, back about Nov 4IR
Chicago Blackhawks
CHIBowen Byram · upper body, back about Oct 29Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
LA·CHI
−0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.57
2.7
goals / game
2.2
3.5
goals allowed / game
3.9
3−7
season record
3−8
0−3
home record
3−4
3−4
away record
0−4
W1
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
3−7
27.1
shots / game
21.4
49.3
faceoff %
42.6
20.4
hits / game
16.2
15.3
blocked shots / game
11.3
5.0
takeaways / game
4.2
17.4
giveaways / game
18.6

Rating Trend

LA · CHI · 28 days
Los Angeles KingsChicago Blackhawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 3−7
Dec 6, 2025at LALA 6 − 0
Dec 4, 2025at LACHI 2 − 1
Oct 26, 2025at CHILA 3 − 1
Mar 20, 2025at CHILA 3 − 1
Mar 3, 2025at CHICHI 5 − 1
Nov 2, 2024at LACHI 4 − 3 SO
Apr 18, 2024at LALA 5 − 4 OT
Mar 19, 2024at LALA 6 − 2
Mar 15, 2024at CHILA 5 − 0
Jan 22, 2023at CHILA 2 − 1

LA · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 26at NYR6 − 3W
Oct 24at NJ1 − 3L
Oct 22at NYI3 − 2W
Oct 20at WSH5 − 2W
Oct 17vs BOS1 − 4L
Oct 13vs EDM1 − 4L
Oct 10at VGK1 − 2L
Oct 6vs FLA1 − 2L
Oct 3at SJ4 − 5L
Sep 30at COL4 − 8L

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 25vs FLA2 − 3L
Oct 23vs MTL1 − 4L
Oct 17vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 15vs WPG4 − 3W
Oct 13vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 10vs CAR2 − 5L
Oct 8at NYI1 − 4L
Oct 6vs STL4 − 2W
Oct 3at BUF3 − 4L
Oct 1at UTAH0 − 6L