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Blues at Devils

NHL · Thursday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Prudential Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
NJ by 0.7
Expected score
NJ 3.1 – 2.4 STL
Expected total
5.5
BluesThe matchupDevils
+146Our fair odds−146
2.4Expected goals3.1
+0.02Power rating+0.01
3.0Goals / game3.3
2.9Allowed / game2.9
27.2Shots / game32.7
49.2Faceoff %50.4
19.4Hits / game16.9
6−7Season record8−5
5−5Last 107−3
Brandon Carlo D · Dillon Dube C
Logan Mailloux D · Ross Johnston LW
Tyler Tucker D
OutSeamus Casey D

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
STL chance · NJ chance
Our model fair40.7%59.3%
Kalshi43.7%64.6%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:12 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
STLSt. Louis Blues+14641%+12943.7%———
NJNew Jersey Devils−14659%−18364.6%———
SpreadNJ by 0.7
STLSt. Louis Blues+0.7our margin————
NJNew Jersey Devils−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.5
Over5.5our total————
Under5.5our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Jersey Devils by 0.7 expected
St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 1%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 3%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 7%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 7%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 23%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 21%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 12%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 15%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 8%New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 3%New Jersey Devils by 6 goals: 1%
← STL wins byNJ wins by →
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more39%
New Jersey Devils wins by 3 or more27%
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more18%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.5 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 4%3 goals: 16%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 16%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.567%
Total over 5.544%
Total over 6.533%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
STLJoel Hofer G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 2.63 GAAexpected
NJConnor Hellebuyck G · last 5 starts: .869 save %, 3.43 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
STL·NJ
Oct 29 vs BOS
last game
Oct 30 at VGK
6 days
days of rest
5 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
St. Louis Blues
STLBrandon Carlo DOut
STLColton Parayko D · upper bodyDay-to-day
STLDillon Dube C · neck, back about Dec 4IR
STLLogan Mailloux D · hand surgery, back about Nov 25IR
STLRoss Johnston LW · lower bodyIR
STLTyler Tucker D · left knee surgery, back about Nov 12IR
New Jersey Devils
NJSeamus Casey D · knee, back about Nov 21IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
STL·NJ
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
3.0
goals / game
3.3
2.9
goals allowed / game
2.9
6−7
season record
8−5
4−3
home record
6−2
2−4
away record
2−3
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
7−3
27.2
shots / game
32.7
49.2
faceoff %
50.4
19.4
hits / game
16.9
11.5
blocked shots / game
12.5
3.6
takeaways / game
4.5
16.9
giveaways / game
16.8

Rating Trend

STL · NJ · 31 days
St. Louis BluesNew Jersey Devils
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NJ 6−4
Feb 28at STLNJ 3 − 1
Nov 26, 2025at NJNJ 3 − 2 OT
Dec 17, 2024at STLNJ 4 − 1
Nov 27, 2024at NJSTL 3 − 0
Mar 7, 2024at NJNJ 4 − 1
Nov 3, 2023at STLSTL 4 − 1
Feb 16, 2023at STLSTL 4 − 2
Jan 5, 2023at NJSTL 5 − 3
Mar 6, 2022at NJNJ 3 − 2 OT
Feb 10, 2022at STLNJ 7 − 4

STL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 29vs BOS4 − 1W
Oct 27vs MTL0 − 2L
Oct 24vs CAR0 − 4L
Oct 22vs VGK6 − 2W
Oct 20vs WPG2 − 1W
Oct 17at NSH2 − 5L
Oct 15at MIN4 − 5L
Oct 13at OTT7 − 2W
Oct 10vs CBJ5 − 3W
Oct 8vs SJ2 − 3L

NJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Oct 28at COL2 − 5L
Oct 27at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 24vs LA3 − 1W
Oct 22vs ANA4 − 1W
Oct 20vs COL4 − 3W
Oct 17at WSH2 − 4L
Oct 15vs NYR7 − 1W
Oct 13at DET5 − 4W
Oct 12vs OTT1 − 4L
Oct 10vs VAN4 − 1W