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Blackhawks at Hurricanes

NHL · Saturday, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 7

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
CAR by 2.2
Expected score
CAR 4.2 – 2.0 CHI
Expected total
6.3
BlackhawksThe matchupHurricanes
+372Our fair odds−372
2.0Expected goals4.2
−0.57Power rating+0.62
2.1Goals / game3.7
3.7Allowed / game2.4
21.6Shots / game33.2
42.7Faceoff %50.0
16.3Hits / game21.5
4−9Season record11−4
4−6Last 108−2
Bowen Byram DOutAlexander Nikishin D · Taylor Hall LW
Jordan Staal C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · CAR chance
Our model fair21.2%78.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Blackhawks+37221%————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−37279%————
SpreadCAR by 2.2
CHIChicago Blackhawks+2.2our margin————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−2.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total————
Under6.3our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 2.2 expected
Chicago Blackhawks by 8 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 7 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: <1%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 1%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 2%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 3%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 13%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 16%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 13%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 23%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 17%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 8%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 2%Carolina Hurricanes by 7 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 8 goals: 1%
← CHI wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more65%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more52%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more6%
Decided by one goal29%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 13%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.546%
Total over 7.528%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
CHInot announced yet
CARnot announced yet

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·CAR
Oct 31 at BOS
last game
Oct 29 vs CBJ
6 days
days of rest
8 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
0
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Chicago Blackhawks
CHIBowen Byram D · upper bodyOut
Carolina Hurricanes
CARAlexander Nikishin D · not injury related, back about Nov 7Out
CARTaylor Hall LW · upper bodyOut
CARJordan Staal C · calf, back about Dec 3IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
CHI·CAR
−0.57
rating (0 = average)
+0.62
2.1
goals / game
3.7
3.7
goals allowed / game
2.4
4−9
season record
11−4
4−4
home record
4−2
0−5
away record
7−2
L1
streak
W3
4−6
last 10
8−2
21.6
shots / game
33.2
42.7
faceoff %
50.0
16.3
hits / game
21.5
11.3
blocked shots / game
12.1
4.2
takeaways / game
4.8
18.0
giveaways / game
17.3

Rating Trend

CHI · CAR · 32 days
Chicago BlackhawksCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CAR 9−1
Oct 10at CHICAR 5 − 2
Apr 9at CHICAR 7 − 2
Jan 22at CARCHI 4 − 3 SO
Jan 30, 2025at CARCAR 3 − 2
Jan 20, 2025at CHICAR 4 − 3 OT
Apr 14, 2024at CHICAR 4 − 2
Feb 19, 2024at CARCAR 6 − 3
Dec 27, 2022at CARCAR 3 − 0
Nov 14, 2022at CHICAR 3 − 0
Nov 3, 2021at CHICAR 4 − 3

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at DET1 − 4L
Oct 27vs LA2 − 1W
Oct 25vs FLA2 − 3L
Oct 23vs MTL1 − 4L
Oct 17vs DAL0 − 4L
Oct 15vs WPG4 − 3W
Oct 13vs PIT5 − 3W
Oct 10vs CAR2 − 5L
Oct 8at NYI1 − 4L
Oct 6vs STL4 − 2W

CAR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Oct 29vs CBJ3 − 2W
Oct 27vs BOS2 − 1W
Oct 24at STL4 − 0W
Oct 22at EDM5 − 6L
Oct 20at VAN6 − 3W
Oct 18at CGY2 − 3L
Oct 17at WPG3 − 2W
Oct 13vs WSH4 − 2W
Oct 11at PHI4 − 1W
Oct 10at CHI5 − 2W