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Trail Blazers at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final POR 136 – UTAH 134
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR33463819136
UTAH43302536134
Team box
POR·UTAH
46-96
field goals
41-84
21-55
3-pointers
11-35
23-27
free throws
41-49
39
rebounds
46
34
assists
30
18
turnovers
22
48
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH383252
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH322928
Jrue HolidayPOR352758
Deni AvdijaPOR341995
Walker KesslerUTAH3218124
Jerami GrantPOR251831

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +22
POR +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 13 · POR 22lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 59%, UTAH 41% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
POR by 4.9
Expected score
POR 118.9 – 114.0 UTAH
Expected total
232.8
Trail BlazersThe matchupJazz
−145Our fair odds+145
118.9Expected points114.0
−0.22Power rating−0.83
120.5Points / game123.7
114.8Allowed / game115.7
44.2FG%46.7
34.53P%34.7
42.0Rebounds / game53.3
2−2Season record2−1
5−5Last 103−7
Damian Lillard · Robert Williams III
Scoot HendersonOutGeorges Niang · Isaiah Collier
John Tonje · Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair59.1%40.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−14559%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+14541%————
SpreadPOR by 4.9
PORPortland Trail Blazers−4.9our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+4.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.8
Over232.8our total————
Under232.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 4.9 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%
← POR wins byUTAH wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more54%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more38%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.8 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.550%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
CWalker Kesslerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·UTAH
Oct 27, 2025 at LAL
last game
Oct 27, 2025 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORRobert Williams III · g league - on assignmentOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORKris Murray · illness; .Questionable
PORMatisse Thybulle · right hip; sorenessQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
POR·UTAH
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
−0.83
120.5
points / game
123.7
114.8
points allowed / game
115.7
2−2
season record
2−1
1−1
home record
2−0
1−1
away record
0−1
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
44.2
FG%
46.7
34.5
3P%
34.7
42.0
rebounds / game
53.3
25.8
assists / game
30.0
17.5
turnovers / game
17.3
53.5
points in paint / game
52.7

Rating Trend

POR · UTAH · 2 days
Portland Trail BlazersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 5−5
Apr 9, 2025at UTAHUTAH 133 − 126
Feb 24, 2025at UTAHPOR 114 − 112
Dec 26, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 120
Dec 6, 2024at PORUTAH 141 − 99
Dec 14, 2023at PORUTAH 122 − 114
Dec 2, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 113
Nov 22, 2023at PORPOR 121 − 105
Nov 14, 2023at UTAHUTAH 115 − 99
Mar 22, 2023at UTAHPOR 127 − 115
Jan 25, 2023at PORPOR 134 − 124

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 27, 2025at LAL122 − 108W
Oct 26, 2025at LAC107 − 114L
Oct 24, 2025vs GS139 − 119W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN114 − 118L
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W
Apr 11, 2025vs GS86 − 103L
Apr 9, 2025at UTAH126 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025vs SA120 − 109W
Apr 4, 2025at CHI113 − 118L
Apr 3, 2025at TOR112 − 103W

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 27, 2025vs PHX138 − 134W
Oct 24, 2025at SAC104 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs LAC129 − 108W
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L
Apr 9, 2025vs POR133 − 126W
Apr 6, 2025at ATL134 − 147L
Apr 4, 2025at IND112 − 140L
Apr 2, 2025at HOU105 − 143L
Mar 31, 2025at CHA106 − 110L