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Kings at Bulls

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final SAC 113 – CHI 126
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC33312722113
CHI36263925126
Team box
SAC·CHI
43-82
field goals
49-91
7-28
3-pointers
14-32
20-26
free throws
14-18
31
rebounds
46
28
assists
34
10
turnovers
16
60
points in paint
70
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Zach LaVineSAC363033
Matas BuzelisCHI342752
Josh GiddeyCHI3120812
DeMar DeRozanSAC351965
Domantas SabonisSAC3218116
Kevin HuerterCHI251844

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +17
SAC +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 17 · SAC 12lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 44%, CHI 56% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 1.3
Expected score
CHI 119.6 – 118.2 SAC
Expected total
237.8
KingsThe matchupBulls
+126Our fair odds−126
118.2Expected points119.6
+0.00Power rating−0.00
110.5Points / game117.7
114.5Allowed / game110.7
46.2FG%48.0
39.53P%37.0
39.0Rebounds / game49.0
1−3Season record3−0
5−5Last 109−1
Daeqwon Plowden · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray · Nique CliffordOutCoby White · Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · CHI chance
Our model fair44.3%55.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+12644%————
CHIChicago Bulls−12656%————
SpreadCHI by 1.3
SACSacramento Kings+1.3our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.8
Over237.8our total————
Under237.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 1.3 expected
Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← SAC wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more44%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more30%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.8 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24737%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·CHI
Oct 28, 2025 at OKC
last game
Oct 27, 2025 vs ATL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left thumb; ucl injury recoveryOut
SACNique Clifford · right hamstring; strainOut
SACKeon Ellis · left shoulder; sorenessQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
SAC·CHI
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
−0.00
110.5
points / game
117.7
114.5
points allowed / game
110.7
1−3
season record
3−0
1−1
home record
2−0
0−2
away record
1−0
L2
streak
W3
5−5
last 10
9−1
46.2
FG%
48.0
39.5
3P%
37.0
39.0
rebounds / game
49.0
23.8
assists / game
29.3
14.8
turnovers / game
18.7
42.5
points in paint / game
56.0

Rating Trend

SAC · CHI · 2 days
Sacramento KingsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 3−5
Mar 20, 2025at SACCHI 128 − 116
Jan 12, 2025at CHISAC 124 − 119
Mar 4, 2024at SACCHI 113 − 109
Feb 3, 2024at CHISAC 123 − 115
Mar 15, 2023at CHISAC 117 − 114
Dec 4, 2022at SACSAC 110 − 101
Mar 14, 2022at SACSAC 112 − 103
Feb 16, 2022at CHICHI 125 − 118

SAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Oct 28, 2025at OKC101 − 107L
Oct 26, 2025vs LAL120 − 127L
Oct 24, 2025vs UTAH105 − 104W
Oct 22, 2025at PHX116 − 120L
Apr 13, 2025vs PHX109 − 98W
Apr 11, 2025vs LAC100 − 101L
Apr 9, 2025vs DEN116 − 124L
Apr 7, 2025at DET127 − 117W
Apr 6, 2025at CLE120 − 113W
Apr 4, 2025at CHA125 − 102W

CHI · Last 10

9−1 · streak W6
Oct 27, 2025vs ATL128 − 123W
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L
Apr 6, 2025at CHA131 − 117W
Apr 4, 2025vs POR118 − 113W
Apr 1, 2025vs TOR137 − 118W