bayesRatings

Blue Jackets at Kraken

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 11 · 9:00 PM CT · Climate Pledge Arena · Final CBJ 2 – SEA 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTSOT
CBJ010012
SEA100001
Team box
CBJ·SEA
34
shots
23
1 of 4
power play
0 of 2
50.8
faceoff %
49.2
15
hits
9
21
blocked shots
11
4
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ2322.957
Matt MurraySEA3433.971

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SEA +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: SEA 1 · CBJ 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 45%, SEA 55% · Updated Nov 11, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
SEA 3.1 – 3.1 CBJ
Expected total
6.2
Blue JacketsThe matchupKraken
+121Our fair odds−121
3.1Expected goals3.1
−0.05Power rating−0.10
3.2Goals / game2.6
3.3Allowed / game2.9
32.0Shots / game25.2
51.1Faceoff %44.4
19.7Hits / game20.7
7−8Season record7−8
5−5Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · SEA chance
Our model fair45.3%54.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+12145%————
SEASeattle Kraken−12155%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.1our margin————
SEASeattle Kraken−0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our total————
Under6.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 2%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 5%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 17%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 25%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 10%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 11%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 6%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 2%Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins bySEA wins by →
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more29%
Seattle Kraken wins by 3 or more19%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more29%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .878 save %, 3.81 GAAstarted
SEAMatt Murray G · last 5 starts: .888 save %, 3.28 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·SEA
Nov 10, 2025 at EDM
last game
Nov 9, 2025 at DAL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
CBJ·SEA
−0.05
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
3.2
goals / game
2.6
3.3
goals allowed / game
2.9
7−8
season record
7−8
3−3
home record
4−3
4−5
away record
3−5
L4
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
32.0
shots / game
25.2
51.1
faceoff %
44.4
19.7
hits / game
20.7
13.4
blocked shots / game
16.6
4.7
takeaways / game
4.7
16.1
giveaways / game
17.3

Rating Trend

CBJ · SEA · 29 days
Columbus Blue JacketsSeattle Kraken
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · SEA 5−3
Jan 9, 2025at CBJCBJ 6 − 2
Nov 12, 2024at SEASEA 5 − 2
Jan 28, 2024at SEASEA 4 − 2
Jan 13, 2024at CBJSEA 7 − 4
Mar 3, 2023at CBJSEA 4 − 2
Jan 28, 2023at SEASEA 3 − 1
Dec 11, 2021at SEACBJ 5 − 4 OT
Oct 16, 2021at CBJCBJ 2 − 1 OT

CBJ · Last 10

5−5 · streak L4
Nov 10, 2025at EDM4 − 5L
Nov 8, 2025at VAN3 − 4L
Nov 5, 2025at CGY1 − 5L
Nov 2, 2025at NYI2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs STL3 − 2W
Oct 29, 2025vs TOR6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at BUF4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025at PIT5 − 4W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH1 − 5L
Oct 21, 2025at DAL5 − 1W

SEA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 9, 2025at DAL1 − 2L
Nov 8, 2025at STL4 − 3W
Nov 5, 2025vs SJ1 − 6L
Nov 3, 2025vs CHI3 − 1W
Nov 1, 2025vs NYR2 − 3L
Oct 28, 2025vs MTL3 − 4L
Oct 25, 2025vs EDM3 − 2W
Oct 23, 2025at WPG3 − 0W
Oct 21, 2025at WSH1 − 4L
Oct 20, 2025at PHI2 − 5L