bayesRatings

Kings at Hurricanes

NHL · Sunday, Feb 1 · 2:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · Final LA 2 – CAR 3
← NHL / Feb 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
LA00202
CAR10113
Team box
LA·CAR
13
shots
34
0 of 2
power play
1 of 4
50.0
faceoff %
50.0
25
hits
11
25
blocked shots
12
14
penalty minutes
10
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Shayne GostisbehereCAR021
Sebastian AhoCAR105
Jordan StaalCAR102
Alexander NikishinCAR102
Quinton ByfieldLA101
Samuel HeleniusLA101
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Anton ForsbergLA3431.912
Brandon BussiCAR1311.846

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CAR +3
LA +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: CAR 2 · LA 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 40%, CAR 60% · Updated Feb 1

Expected margin
CAR by 0.7
Expected score
CAR 3.2 – 2.5 LA
Expected total
5.8
KingsThe matchupHurricanes
+149Our fair odds−149
2.5Expected goals3.2
−0.00Power rating+0.25
2.7Goals / game3.5
2.8Allowed / game2.9
27.8Shots / game31.9
48.5Faceoff %50.7
18.2Hits / game19.8
23−30Season record33−21
5−5Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · CAR chance
Our model fair40.1%59.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings+14940%————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−14960%————
SpreadCAR by 0.7
LALos Angeles Kings+0.7our margin————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our total————
Under5.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 0.7 expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 1%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 7%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 7%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 15%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 8%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 3%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%
← LA wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more39%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more27%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more18%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.549%
Total over 6.538%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .921 save %, 2.29 GAAstarted
CARBrandon Bussi G · last 5 starts: .921 save %, 2.02 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·CAR
Jan 31 at PHI
last game
Jan 31 at WSH
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
2
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
LA·CAR
−0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.25
2.7
goals / game
3.5
2.8
goals allowed / game
2.9
23−30
season record
33−21
8−17
home record
19−10
15−13
away record
14−11
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
27.8
shots / game
31.9
48.5
faceoff %
50.7
18.2
hits / game
19.8
13.6
blocked shots / game
11.1
4.6
takeaways / game
5.9
16.5
giveaways / game
16.4

Rating Trend

LA · CAR · 107 days
Los Angeles KingsCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CAR 6−3
Oct 18, 2025at LACAR 4 − 3 OT
Mar 22, 2025at LALA 7 − 2
Feb 1, 2025at CARLA 4 − 2
Jan 15, 2024at CARLA 5 − 2
Oct 14, 2023at LACAR 6 − 5 SO
Jan 31, 2023at CARCAR 5 − 4 OT
Dec 3, 2022at LACAR 4 − 2
Dec 18, 2021at CARCAR 5 − 1
Nov 20, 2021at LACAR 5 − 4

LA · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 31at PHI3 − 2W
Jan 29at BUF1 − 4L
Jan 27at DET3 − 1W
Jan 24at STL5 − 4W
Jan 20vs NYR4 − 3W
Jan 17at ANA1 − 2L
Jan 16vs ANA2 − 3L
Jan 14vs VGK2 − 3L
Jan 12vs DAL1 − 3L
Jan 10at EDM4 − 3W

CAR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 31at WSH3 − 4L
Jan 29vs UTAH5 − 4W
Jan 24at OTT4 − 1W
Jan 22vs CHI3 − 4L
Jan 19vs BUF2 − 1W
Jan 17at NJ4 − 1W
Jan 16vs FLA9 − 1W
Jan 13at STL0 − 3L
Jan 12at DET3 − 4L
Jan 10vs SEA3 − 2W