bayesRatings

Kraken at Hurricanes

NHL · Saturday, Jan 10 · 6:00 PM CT · Lenovo Center · Final SEA 2 – CAR 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
SEA1012
CAR1023
Team box
SEA·CAR
12
shots
36
0 of 1
power play
0 of 1
50.8
faceoff %
49.2
25
hits
16
12
blocked shots
13
2
penalty minutes
2
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Joey DaccordSEA3633.917
Brandon BussiCAR1210.833

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CAR +3
SEA +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CAR 1 · SEA 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SEA 41%, CAR 59% · Updated Jan 10

Expected margin
CAR by 0.7
Expected score
CAR 3.4 – 2.6 SEA
Expected total
6.0
KrakenThe matchupHurricanes
+147Our fair odds−147
2.6Expected goals3.4
−0.09Power rating+0.14
2.8Goals / game3.5
2.9Allowed / game3.0
26.1Shots / game32.2
47.2Faceoff %50.2
18.6Hits / game19.3
20−22Season record27−17
8−2Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SEA chance · CAR chance
Our model fair40.5%59.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SEASeattle Kraken+14741%————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−14759%————
SpreadCAR by 0.7
SEASeattle Kraken+0.7our margin————
CARCarolina Hurricanes−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 0.7 expected
Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 1%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 3%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 7%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 7%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 21%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 20%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 15%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 8%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 3%Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%
← SEA wins byCAR wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more40%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more28%
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more19%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
SEAJoey Daccord G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 2.52 GAAstarted
CARBrandon Bussi G · last 5 starts: .886 save %, 2.78 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SEA·CAR
Jan 8 vs MIN
last game
Jan 8 vs ANA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 42+ games
SEA·CAR
−0.09
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
2.8
goals / game
3.5
2.9
goals allowed / game
3.0
20−22
season record
27−17
10−12
home record
15−9
10−10
away record
12−8
L1
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
5−5
26.1
shots / game
32.2
47.2
faceoff %
50.2
18.6
hits / game
19.3
16.5
blocked shots / game
11.3
4.6
takeaways / game
5.7
15.7
giveaways / game
16.7

Rating Trend

SEA · CAR · 85 days
Seattle KrakenCarolina Hurricanes
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CAR 5−3
Dec 3, 2024at CARSEA 4 − 2
Oct 26, 2024at SEACAR 4 − 1
Oct 26, 2023at CARCAR 3 − 2 OT
Oct 19, 2023at SEASEA 7 − 4
Dec 15, 2022at CARCAR 3 − 2
Oct 17, 2022at SEACAR 5 − 1
Mar 6, 2022at CARCAR 3 − 2
Nov 24, 2021at SEASEA 2 − 1

SEA · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Jan 8vs MIN2 − 3L
Jan 6vs BOS7 − 4W
Jan 5at CGY5 − 1W
Jan 2at VAN4 − 3W
Jan 1vs NSH4 − 1W
Dec 29, 2025vs VAN2 − 3L
Dec 28, 2025vs PHI4 − 1W
Dec 23, 2025at LA3 − 2W
Dec 22, 2025at ANA3 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025at SJ4 − 2W

CAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Jan 8vs ANA5 − 2W
Jan 6vs DAL6 − 3W
Jan 4at NJ3 − 1W
Jan 3vs COL3 − 5L
Jan 1vs MTL5 − 7L
Dec 30, 2025at PIT1 − 5L
Dec 29, 2025vs NYR3 − 2W
Dec 27, 2025vs DET5 − 2W
Dec 23, 2025vs FLA2 − 5L
Dec 20, 2025at TB4 − 6L