bayesRatings

Kraken at Kings

NHL · Tuesday, Dec 23 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final SEA 3 – LA 2
← NHL / Dec 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
SEA0303
LA0112
Team box
SEA·LA
28
shots
37
1 of 2
power play
0 of 3
47.9
faceoff %
52.1
17
hits
25
19
blocked shots
5
6
penalty minutes
4
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Eeli TolvanenSEA022
Jordan EberleSEA104
Andrei KuzmenkoLA103
Kevin FialaLA102
Frederick GaudreauSEA102
Ben MeyersSEA101
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Joey DaccordSEA3735.946
Pheonix CopleyLA2825.893

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LA +3
SEA +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: LA 0 · SEA 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SEA 40%, LA 60% · Updated Dec 23, 2025

Expected margin
LA by 0.5
Expected score
LA 2.9 – 2.4 SEA
Expected total
5.2
KrakenThe matchupKings
+151Our fair odds−151
2.4Expected goals2.9
−0.19Power rating+0.06
2.5Goals / game2.5
3.1Allowed / game2.7
25.8Shots / game27.9
46.7Faceoff %49.5
19.0Hits / game17.3
14−20Season record15−20
3−7Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SEA chance · LA chance
Our model fair39.9%60.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SEASeattle Kraken+15140%————
LALos Angeles Kings−15160%————
SpreadLA by 0.5
SEASeattle Kraken+0.5our margin————
LALos Angeles Kings−0.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.2
Over5.2our total————
Under5.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Kings by 0.5 expected
Seattle Kraken by 6 goals: <1%Seattle Kraken by 5 goals: 1%Seattle Kraken by 4 goals: 3%Seattle Kraken by 3 goals: 8%Seattle Kraken by 2 goals: 8%Seattle Kraken by 1 goal: 20%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 26%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 11%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 13%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 6%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 2%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%
← SEA wins byLA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more34%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more22%
Seattle Kraken wins by 2 or more20%
Decided by one goal46%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.2 expected
1 goals: 4%2 goals: 4%3 goals: 18%4 goals: 11%5 goals: 24%6 goals: 10%7 goals: 15%8 goals: 5%9 goals: 5%10 goals: 1%11 goals: 1%12 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.563%
Total over 5.539%
Total over 6.529%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
SEAJoey Daccord G · last 5 starts: .922 save %, 2.64 GAAstarted
LAPheonix Copley G · last 5 starts: .904 save %, 2.37 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SEA·LA
Dec 22, 2025 at ANA
last game
Dec 22, 2025 vs CBJ
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
SEA·LA
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
2.5
goals / game
2.5
3.1
goals allowed / game
2.7
14−20
season record
15−20
7−10
home record
4−11
7−10
away record
11−9
W2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
3−7
25.8
shots / game
27.9
46.7
faceoff %
49.5
19.0
hits / game
17.3
16.1
blocked shots / game
13.8
4.6
takeaways / game
4.5
15.5
giveaways / game
16.6

Rating Trend

SEA · LA · 70 days
Seattle KrakenLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LA 5−5
Dec 10, 2025at SEASEA 3 − 2 OT
Apr 15, 2025at SEALA 6 − 5
Apr 7, 2025at LASEA 2 − 1
Jan 18, 2025at SEASEA 4 − 2
Nov 23, 2024at LALA 2 − 1
Apr 3, 2024at LALA 5 − 2
Dec 20, 2023at LASEA 2 − 1
Dec 16, 2023at SEALA 3 − 2 SO
Apr 1, 2023at SEALA 3 − 1
Nov 29, 2022at LASEA 9 − 8 OT

SEA · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Dec 22, 2025at ANA3 − 1W
Dec 20, 2025at SJ4 − 2W
Dec 18, 2025at CGY2 − 4L
Dec 16, 2025vs COL3 − 5L
Dec 14, 2025vs BUF1 − 3L
Dec 12, 2025at UTAH3 − 5L
Dec 10, 2025vs LA3 − 2W
Dec 8, 2025vs MIN1 − 4L
Dec 6, 2025vs DET3 − 4L
Dec 4, 2025at EDM4 − 9L

LA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 22, 2025vs CBJ1 − 3L
Dec 18, 2025at TB2 − 1W
Dec 17, 2025at FLA2 − 3L
Dec 15, 2025at DAL1 − 4L
Dec 13, 2025vs CGY1 − 2L
Dec 10, 2025at SEA2 − 3L
Dec 8, 2025at UTAH4 − 2W
Dec 6, 2025vs CHI6 − 0W
Dec 4, 2025vs CHI1 − 2L
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH1 − 3L