bayesRatings

Predators at Blackhawks

NHL · Sunday, Mar 22 · 2:00 PM CT · United Center · Final NSH 3 – CHI 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
NSH01113
CHI02002
Team box
NSH·CHI
33
shots
29
0 of 3
power play
0 of 3
52.1
faceoff %
47.9
29
hits
19
10
blocked shots
5
6
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH2927.931
Spencer KnightCHI3330.909

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: CHI 1 · NSH 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 52%, CHI 48% · Updated Mar 22

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NSH 3.0 – 3.0 CHI
Expected total
6.0
PredatorsThe matchupBlackhawks
−106Our fair odds+106
3.0Expected goals3.0
−0.19Power rating−0.40
3.0Goals / game2.6
3.3Allowed / game3.2
28.1Shots / game24.3
50.8Faceoff %46.4
19.2Hits / game17.0
32−37Season record26−43
5−5Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · CHI chance
Our model fair51.5%48.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators−10652%————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+10648%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators−0.1our margin————
CHIChicago Blackhawks+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 6%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 12%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 10%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 22%Chicago Blackhawks by 1 goal: 21%Chicago Blackhawks by 2 goals: 9%Chicago Blackhawks by 3 goals: 10%Chicago Blackhawks by 4 goals: 5%Chicago Blackhawks by 5 goals: 2%Chicago Blackhawks by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byCHI wins by →
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more30%
Nashville Predators wins by 3 or more20%
Chicago Blackhawks wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,070 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .911 save %, 2.72 GAAstarted
CHISpencer Knight G · last 5 starts: .913 save %, 2.72 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·CHI
Mar 21 vs VGK
last game
Mar 20 vs COL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 69+ games
NSH·CHI
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.40
3.0
goals / game
2.6
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.2
32−37
season record
26−43
19−16
home record
13−22
13−21
away record
13−21
W3
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
28.1
shots / game
24.3
50.8
faceoff %
46.4
19.2
hits / game
17.0
12.0
blocked shots / game
12.4
5.3
takeaways / game
5.0
15.0
giveaways / game
15.8

Rating Trend

NSH · CHI · 137 days
Nashville PredatorsChicago Blackhawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 2−8
Feb 26at NSHNSH 4 − 2
Jan 10at NSHCHI 3 − 0
Nov 28, 2025at CHINSH 4 − 3
Mar 8, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 OT
Feb 7, 2025at CHICHI 6 − 2
Jan 16, 2025at NSHNSH 3 − 2 SO
Oct 25, 2024at CHINSH 3 − 2
Apr 12, 2024at CHINSH 5 − 1
Jan 2, 2024at NSHNSH 3 − 0
Dec 5, 2023at CHINSH 4 − 3 SO

NSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Mar 21vs VGK4 − 1W
Mar 19vs SEA3 − 1W
Mar 17at WPG4 − 3W
Mar 15at EDM1 − 3L
Mar 12at VAN3 − 4L
Mar 10at SEA4 − 2W
Mar 7at BUF2 − 3L
Mar 5vs BOS6 − 3W
Mar 3at CBJ2 − 3L
Mar 2vs DET2 − 4L

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 20vs COL1 − 4L
Mar 19at MIN2 − 1W
Mar 17vs MIN3 − 4L
Mar 14at VGK0 − 4L
Mar 12at UTAH3 − 2W
Mar 9vs UTAH3 − 2W
Mar 8at DAL3 − 4L
Mar 6vs VAN3 − 6L
Mar 3at WPG2 − 3L
Mar 1at UTAH4 − 0W