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Blue Jackets at Flyers

NHL · Tuesday, Mar 24 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final CBJ 3 – PHI 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
CBJ0213
PHI1012
Team box
CBJ·PHI
19
shots
26
0 of 2
power play
0 of 1
48.0
faceoff %
52.0
25
hits
13
10
blocked shots
11
9
penalty minutes
11
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Jet GreavesCBJ2624.923
Dan VladarPHI1916.842

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +3
CBJ +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: PHI 1 · CBJ 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CBJ 51%, PHI 49% · Updated Mar 24

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.2 – 3.0 PHI
Expected total
6.2
Blue JacketsThe matchupFlyers
−105Our fair odds+105
3.2Expected goals3.0
+0.09Power rating−0.11
3.3Goals / game2.9
3.1Allowed / game3.1
30.0Shots / game25.2
50.4Faceoff %48.5
19.3Hits / game22.6
37−33Season record34−35
6−4Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · PHI chance
Our model fair51.3%48.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−10551%————
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+10549%————
Spreadabout even
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.3our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our total————
Under6.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 13%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 17%Philadelphia Flyers by 1 goal: 25%Philadelphia Flyers by 2 goals: 8%Philadelphia Flyers by 3 goals: 9%Philadelphia Flyers by 4 goals: 4%Philadelphia Flyers by 5 goals: 1%Philadelphia Flyers by 6 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byPHI wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more34%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more24%
Philadelphia Flyers wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .913 save %, 2.17 GAAstarted
PHIDan Vladar G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.48 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·PHI
Mar 22 at NYI
last game
Mar 21 at SJ
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 69+ games
CBJ·PHI
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.11
3.3
goals / game
2.9
3.1
goals allowed / game
3.1
37−33
season record
34−35
20−15
home record
15−19
17−18
away record
19−16
L1
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
7−3
30.0
shots / game
25.2
50.4
faceoff %
48.5
19.3
hits / game
22.6
14.8
blocked shots / game
15.2
5.0
takeaways / game
4.3
15.5
giveaways / game
14.8

Rating Trend

CBJ · PHI · 139 days
Columbus Blue JacketsPhiladelphia Flyers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Mar 14at PHICBJ 2 − 1 SO
Jan 28at CBJCBJ 5 − 3
Apr 15, 2025at PHICBJ 3 − 0
Jan 14, 2025at CBJCBJ 3 − 2 SO
Dec 21, 2024at PHIPHI 5 − 4 OT
Dec 10, 2024at CBJPHI 5 − 3
Apr 6, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 2
Jan 4, 2024at PHICBJ 3 − 2 SO
Nov 19, 2023at PHIPHI 5 − 2
Oct 12, 2023at CBJPHI 4 − 2

CBJ · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Mar 22at NYI0 − 1L
Mar 21vs SEA5 − 2W
Mar 19vs NYR6 − 3W
Mar 17vs CAR5 − 1W
Mar 14at PHI2 − 1W
Mar 12at FLA1 − 2L
Mar 10at TB5 − 2W
Mar 9vs LA4 − 5L
Mar 7vs UTAH4 − 5L
Mar 5vs FLA4 − 2W

PHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Mar 21at SJ4 − 1W
Mar 19at LA4 − 3W
Mar 18at ANA3 − 2W
Mar 14vs CBJ1 − 2L
Mar 12at MIN3 − 2W
Mar 11vs WSH4 − 1W
Mar 9vs NYR2 − 6L
Mar 7at PIT4 − 3W
Mar 5vs UTAH0 − 3L
Mar 2at TOR3 − 2W