bayesRatings

Kings at Blue Jackets

NHL · Monday, Mar 9 · 3:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final LA 5 – CBJ 4

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTT
LA21115
CBJ12104
Team box
LA·CBJ
31
shots
32
0 of 3
power play
1 of 4
65.7
faceoff %
34.3
25
hits
12
13
blocked shots
18
8
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Anton ForsbergLA3228.875
Jet GreavesCBJ3126.839

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
LA +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: CBJ 1 · LA 2lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LA 44%, CBJ 56% · Updated Mar 9

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.2 – 2.8 LA
Expected total
6.0
KingsThe matchupBlue Jackets
+129Our fair odds−129
2.8Expected goals3.2
−0.08Power rating+0.01
2.6Goals / game3.2
3.0Allowed / game3.2
27.7Shots / game29.9
48.3Faceoff %50.6
19.2Hits / game19.7
25−37Season record32−30
3−7Last 107−3

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LA chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair43.8%56.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALos Angeles Kings+12944%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−12956%————
Spreadabout even
LALos Angeles Kings+0.4our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 1%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 4%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 9%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 8%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 21%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 11%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 13%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%
← LA wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more34%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more23%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
LAAnton Forsberg G · last 5 starts: .881 save %, 3.57 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .917 save %, 2.25 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LA·CBJ
Mar 7 vs MTL
last game
Mar 7 vs UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 62+ games
LA·CBJ
−0.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
2.6
goals / game
3.2
3.0
goals allowed / game
3.2
25−37
season record
32−30
10−22
home record
17−14
15−15
away record
15−16
L1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
7−3
27.7
shots / game
29.9
48.3
faceoff %
50.6
19.2
hits / game
19.7
14.1
blocked shots / game
14.7
4.7
takeaways / game
4.9
16.1
giveaways / game
15.7

Rating Trend

LA · CBJ · 124 days
Los Angeles KingsColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CBJ 3−6
Dec 22, 2025at LACBJ 3 − 1
Jan 25, 2025at CBJCBJ 3 − 2 OT
Nov 9, 2024at LALA 5 − 2
Feb 20, 2024at LALA 5 − 1
Dec 5, 2023at CBJLA 4 − 3 OT
Mar 16, 2023at LALA 4 − 1
Dec 11, 2022at CBJCBJ 6 − 5 OT
Apr 16, 2022at LALA 2 − 1
Mar 4, 2022at CBJLA 4 − 3 OT

LA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Mar 7vs MTL3 − 4L
Mar 5vs NYI5 − 3W
Mar 2vs COL2 − 4L
Feb 28vs CGY2 − 0W
Feb 26vs EDM1 − 8L
Feb 25vs VGK4 − 6L
Feb 5at VGK1 − 4L
Feb 4vs SEA2 − 4L
Feb 1at CAR2 − 3L
Jan 31at PHI3 − 2W

CBJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Mar 7vs UTAH4 − 5L
Mar 5vs FLA4 − 2W
Mar 3vs NSH3 − 2W
Mar 2at NYR5 − 4W
Feb 28vs NYI3 − 4L
Feb 26at BOS2 − 4L
Feb 4vs CHI4 − 0W
Feb 3at NJ3 − 0W
Jan 31at STL5 − 3W
Jan 30at CHI4 − 2W