Box score and game flow are added the next morning.
Final · our forecast was NJ 48%, VGK 52% · Updated Oct 30
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · NovigFull price table
| Team | Our modelfair | Kalshipre-game · 4:58 PM CT | Polymarket USpre-game · 4:59 PM CT | ProphetXpre-game · 4:58 PM CT | Novigpre-game · 4:59 PM CT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | |||||
| NJNew Jersey Devils | +10748% | −10350.7% | −10751.7% | −10050.0% | +10449.0% |
| VGKVegas Golden Knights | −10752% | −11653.7% | −11252.7% | −11252.9% | −10651.5% |
| Spreadabout even | |||||
| NJNew Jersey Devils | +0.2our margin | +1.5 −26372.4% | +1.5 −26372.4% | +1.5 −24270.7% | +1.5 −23970.5% |
| VGKVegas Golden Knights | −0.2our margin | −1.5 +21831.5% | −1.5 +21831.5% | −1.5 +21631.7% | −1.5 +23330.0% |
| Totalwe expect 6.0 | |||||
| Over | 6.0our total | o6.5 +11446.7% | o6.5 +11446.7% | o6.5 +11845.9% | o6.5 +12544.5% |
| Under | 6.0our total | u6.5 −13757.7% | u6.5 −13657.7% | u6.5 −13557.4% | u6.5 −13056.5% |
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Even game expectedCentered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Total range
6.0 expectedCentered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Rest and Schedule
before this gameFor context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out
Injury list before the game · Oct 30, 2026, 3:40 PM CTFor context, not in our forecast.