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Wild at Flyers

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
MIN by 0.8
Expected score
MIN 3.2 – 2.3 PHI
Expected total
5.5
WildThe matchupFlyers
−160Our fair odds+160
3.2Expected goals2.3
+0.21Power rating−0.15
3.1Goals / game1.9
2.3Allowed / game3.4
30.5Shots / game23.3
49.3Faceoff %50.6
23.0Hits / game23.3
9−6Season record3−12
6−4Last 103−7
Brock Faber D · Jared Spurgeon D
Marcus Foligno LW · Nick Foligno LW
OutOwen Tippett RW · Rasmus Ristolainen D
Travis Konecny RW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · PHI chance
Our model fair61.6%38.4%
Kalshi66.6%38.6%
Polymarket US64.6%39.6%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:32 AM CTPolymarket US4:33 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Wild−16062%−19966.6%−18364.6%——
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+16038%+15938.6%+15239.6%——
SpreadMIN by 0.8
MINMinnesota Wild−0.8our margin—−1.5 −17563.6%——
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+0.8our margin—+1.5 −34077.3%——
Totalwe expect 5.5
Over5.5our total—o7.5 +11047.7%——
Under5.5our total—u7.5 −347497.2%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Wild by 0.8 expected
Minnesota Wild by 6 goals: 1%Minnesota Wild by 5 goals: 3%Minnesota Wild by 4 goals: 8%Minnesota Wild by 3 goals: 16%Minnesota Wild by 2 goals: 13%Minnesota Wild by 1 goal: 21%Philadelphia Flyers by 1 goal: 22%Philadelphia Flyers by 2 goals: 7%Philadelphia Flyers by 3 goals: 6%Philadelphia Flyers by 4 goals: 2%Philadelphia Flyers by 5 goals: 1%Philadelphia Flyers by 6 goals: <1%
← MIN wins byPHI wins by →
Minnesota Wild wins by 2 or more41%
Minnesota Wild wins by 3 or more28%
Philadelphia Flyers wins by 2 or more16%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.5 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 4%3 goals: 16%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 16%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.567%
Total over 5.544%
Total over 6.533%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
MINJesper Wallstedt G · last 5 starts: .908 save %, 2.38 GAAexpected
PHIDan Vladar G · last 5 starts: .902 save %, 2.55 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·PHI
Oct 29 vs NYI
last game
Oct 28 at WSH
4 days
days of rest
5 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Minnesota Wild
MINJoel Eriksson Ek C · undisclosedDay-to-day
MINBrock Faber D · skull surgery, back about Nov 3IR
MINJared Spurgeon D · undisclosed, back about Nov 6IR
MINMarcus Foligno LW · lower bodyIR
MINNick Foligno LW · upper bodyIR
Philadelphia Flyers
PHIOwen Tippett RW · upper bodyIR
PHIRasmus Ristolainen D · hand, back about Nov 11IR
PHITravis Konecny RW · lower bodyIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
MIN·PHI
+0.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
3.1
goals / game
1.9
2.3
goals allowed / game
3.4
9−6
season record
3−12
4−1
home record
2−6
5−5
away record
1−6
L1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
3−7
30.5
shots / game
23.3
49.3
faceoff %
50.6
23.0
hits / game
23.3
14.0
blocked shots / game
16.0
4.4
takeaways / game
4.2
16.9
giveaways / game
15.3

Rating Trend

MIN · PHI · 31 days
Minnesota WildPhiladelphia Flyers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Mar 12at MINPHI 3 − 2 SO
Oct 18, 2025at PHIPHI 2 − 1 OT
Dec 14, 2024at MINMIN 4 − 1
Oct 26, 2024at PHIPHI 7 − 5
Jan 12, 2024at MINPHI 4 − 3 OT
Oct 26, 2023at PHIPHI 6 − 2
Mar 23, 2023at PHIPHI 5 − 4 SO
Jan 26, 2023at MINMIN 3 − 2 OT
Mar 29, 2022at MINMIN 4 − 1
Mar 3, 2022at PHIMIN 5 − 4

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Oct 29vs NYI3 − 4L
Oct 27at UTAH3 − 1W
Oct 25at VAN4 − 2W
Oct 24at SEA5 − 1W
Oct 22at CGY1 − 2L
Oct 20at EDM3 − 4L
Oct 18vs CBJ2 − 1W
Oct 15vs STL5 − 4W
Oct 13at WPG2 − 5L
Oct 12vs VGK4 − 2W

PHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 28at WSH2 − 5L
Oct 27vs CBJ3 − 4L
Oct 24vs ANA4 − 5L
Oct 21at BUF3 − 1W
Oct 19vs COL3 − 2W
Oct 17vs OTT3 − 1W
Oct 15at DET1 − 2L
Oct 13vs SEA2 − 3L
Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L