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Sharks at Kings

NHL · Wednesday, Nov 4 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 4

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
LA 3.4 – 2.9 SJ
Expected total
6.3
SharksThe matchupKings
+126Our fair odds−126
2.9Expected goals3.4
−0.27Power rating−0.15
2.9Goals / game2.8
3.4Allowed / game3.5
27.4Shots / game27.9
47.2Faceoff %50.2
25.6Hits / game21.6
7−7Season record4−8
4−6Last 104−6
Adam Gaudette RW · Alexander Wennberg C
Igor Chernyshov LW · Kyle Keyser G
Quentin Musty LWOutAlex Turcotte C · Kevin Fiala LW
Mats Zuccarello RW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SJ chance · LA chance
Our model fair44.3%55.7%
Kalshi45.7%61.7%
Polymarket US49.7%54.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:14 AM CTPolymarket US5:15 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SJSan Jose Sharks+12644%+11945.7%+10149.7%——
LALos Angeles Kings−12656%−16161.7%−12154.7%——
Spreadabout even
SJSan Jose Sharks+0.4our margin————
LALos Angeles Kings−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total—o5.5 −34077.3%——
Under6.3our total—u5.5 −26372.4%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
San Jose Sharks by 6 goals: <1%San Jose Sharks by 5 goals: 1%San Jose Sharks by 4 goals: 4%San Jose Sharks by 3 goals: 9%San Jose Sharks by 2 goals: 8%San Jose Sharks by 1 goal: 21%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 20%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 11%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 14%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 7%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 3%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: 1%
← SJ wins byLA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more36%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more25%
San Jose Sharks wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.547%
Total over 7.528%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
SJYaroslav Askarov G · last 5 starts: .926 save %, 2.44 GAAexpected
LADarcy Kuemper G · last 5 starts: .910 save %, 2.74 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SJ·LA
Oct 29 vs VAN
last game
Oct 29 vs OTT
5 days
days of rest
5 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
San Jose Sharks
SJAdam Gaudette RWIR
SJAlexander Wennberg C · upper body, back about Nov 9IR
SJIgor Chernyshov LW · upper body, back about Nov 14IR
SJKyle Keyser G · upper body, back about Dec 1IR
SJQuentin Musty LW · upper body, back about Dec 1IR
Los Angeles Kings
LABrandt Clarke D · upper bodyDay-to-day
LAAlex Turcotte C · undisclosedIR
LAKevin Fiala LW · left lower leg surgery, back about Nov 7IR
LAMats Zuccarello RW · upper body, back about Nov 10IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
SJ·LA
−0.27
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
2.9
goals / game
2.8
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.5
7−7
season record
4−8
3−3
home record
1−3
4−4
away record
3−5
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
4−6
27.4
shots / game
27.9
47.2
faceoff %
50.2
25.6
hits / game
21.6
14.4
blocked shots / game
15.2
4.8
takeaways / game
4.7
18.6
giveaways / game
16.6

Rating Trend

SJ · LA · 31 days
San Jose SharksLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LA 4−6
Oct 3at SJSJ 5 − 4 OT
Jan 7at LASJ 4 − 3 OT
Nov 20, 2025at SJSJ 4 − 3 SO
Oct 28, 2025at SJLA 4 − 3
Mar 30, 2025at LALA 8 − 1
Nov 25, 2024at SJSJ 7 − 2
Oct 29, 2024at SJSJ 4 − 2
Oct 24, 2024at LALA 3 − 2
Apr 4, 2024at SJLA 2 − 1
Jan 22, 2024at LASJ 4 − 3 SO

SJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 29vs VAN3 − 2W
Oct 27vs BUF0 − 2L
Oct 24at BOS4 − 6L
Oct 22at OTT6 − 2W
Oct 20at MTL4 − 3W
Oct 19at TOR1 − 3L
Oct 17at DET3 − 4L
Oct 15at NSH3 − 2W
Oct 13vs BOS3 − 6L
Oct 10vs EDM1 − 3L

LA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 29vs OTT6 − 5W
Oct 27at CHI1 − 2L
Oct 26at NYR6 − 3W
Oct 24at NJ1 − 3L
Oct 22at NYI3 − 2W
Oct 20at WSH5 − 2W
Oct 17vs BOS1 − 4L
Oct 13vs EDM1 − 4L
Oct 10at VGK1 − 2L
Oct 6vs FLA1 − 2L