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Stars at Blue Jackets

NHL · Thursday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
DAL 3.0 – 2.7 CBJ
Expected total
5.7
StarsThe matchupBlue Jackets
−123Our fair odds+123
3.0Expected goals2.7
+0.18Power rating−0.07
2.7Goals / game2.5
2.3Allowed / game3.3
26.3Shots / game25.5
56.3Faceoff %54.6
20.2Hits / game23.0
7−6Season record5−6
6−4Last 104−6
Kyle Capobianco D · Radek Faksa C
Esa Lindell D · Luke Krys D
Matt Duchene C
OutBrendan Smith D · Ivan Provorov D

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair55.2%44.8%
Kalshi60.7%47.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:13 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Stars−12355%−15460.7%———
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+12345%+10947.7%———
Spreadabout even
DALDallas Stars−0.4our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Dallas Stars by 6 goals: <1%Dallas Stars by 5 goals: 2%Dallas Stars by 4 goals: 7%Dallas Stars by 3 goals: 13%Dallas Stars by 2 goals: 11%Dallas Stars by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 9%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 4%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%
← DAL wins byCBJ wins by →
Dallas Stars wins by 2 or more34%
Dallas Stars wins by 3 or more23%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
DALJake Oettinger G · last 5 starts: .888 save %, 2.17 GAAexpected
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .879 save %, 3.52 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·CBJ
Oct 29 vs MTL
last game
Oct 29 at CAR
6 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Dallas Stars
DALKyle Capobianco D · left leg, back about Nov 27Out
DALRadek Faksa C · lower bodyOut
DALEsa Lindell D · lower bodyIR
DALLuke Krys D · undisclosedIR
DALMatt Duchene C · abdomen, back about Jan 12, 2027IR
DALOskar Back C · finger fracture, back about Nov 14IR
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJBrendan Smith DIR
CBJIvan Provorov DIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
DAL·CBJ
+0.18
rating (0 = average)
−0.07
2.7
goals / game
2.5
2.3
goals allowed / game
3.3
7−6
season record
5−6
4−4
home record
4−3
3−2
away record
1−3
L2
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
4−6
26.3
shots / game
25.5
56.3
faceoff %
54.6
20.2
hits / game
23.0
14.8
blocked shots / game
15.5
3.6
takeaways / game
5.0
13.8
giveaways / game
16.9

Rating Trend

DAL · CBJ · 31 days
Dallas StarsColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CBJ 5−5
Jan 22at CBJCBJ 1 − 0
Oct 21, 2025at DALCBJ 5 − 1
Feb 25, 2025at CBJCBJ 6 − 4
Feb 2, 2025at DALDAL 5 − 3
Nov 9, 2023at CBJDAL 5 − 2
Oct 30, 2023at DALDAL 5 − 3
Feb 18, 2023at DALCBJ 4 − 1
Dec 19, 2022at CBJDAL 2 − 1
Dec 2, 2021at DALDAL 3 − 2
Oct 25, 2021at CBJCBJ 4 − 1

DAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Oct 29vs MTL2 − 5L
Oct 27vs NJ1 − 5L
Oct 25vs NYI6 − 3W
Oct 22vs WPG3 − 2W
Oct 20vs BOS3 − 2W
Oct 17at CHI4 − 0W
Oct 14at COL3 − 2W
Oct 13vs COL2 − 3L
Oct 10at PIT1 − 2L
Oct 8at BUF4 − 0W

CBJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at CAR2 − 3L
Oct 27at PHI4 − 3W
Oct 24vs VGK2 − 1W
Oct 20vs TOR2 − 6L
Oct 18at MIN1 − 2L
Oct 17vs NYR1 − 0W
Oct 13vs FLA3 − 7L
Oct 10at STL3 − 5L
Oct 9vs PIT3 − 2W
Oct 3vs UTAH1 − 4L