bayesRatings

Blues at Predators

NHL · Saturday, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM CT · Bridgestone Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
STL 3.0 – 3.0 NSH
Expected total
6.0
BluesThe matchupPredators
−102Our fair odds+102
3.0Expected goals3.0
+0.02Power rating−0.14
3.0Goals / game2.8
2.9Allowed / game3.3
27.2Shots / game25.6
49.2Faceoff %50.6
19.4Hits / game22.7
6−7Season record4−9
5−5Last 103−7
Brandon Carlo D · Colton Parayko D
Dillon Dube C · Logan Mailloux D
Ross Johnston LW
OutWilliam Trudeau D

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
STL chance · NSH chance
Our model fair50.4%49.6%
Kalshi55.7%54.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi8:13 PM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
STLSt. Louis Blues−10250%−12655.7%———
NSHNashville Predators+10250%−12154.7%———
Spreadabout even
STLSt. Louis Blues−0.1our margin————
NSHNashville Predators+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total————
Under6.0our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 2%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 6%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 11%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 10%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 21%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 22%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 11%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%
← STL wins byNSH wins by →
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more29%
St. Louis Blues wins by 3 or more20%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
STLnot announced yet
NSHnot announced yet

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
STL·NSH
Oct 31 at DET
last game
Oct 31 vs TB
6 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
2nd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
St. Louis Blues
STLBrandon Carlo DOut
STLColton Parayko D · upper bodyOut
STLDillon Dube C · neck, back about Dec 4IR
STLLogan Mailloux D · hand surgery, back about Nov 25IR
STLRoss Johnston LW · lower bodyIR
STLTyler Tucker D · left knee surgery, back about Nov 12IR
Nashville Predators
NSHWilliam Trudeau DIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
STL·NSH
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
3.0
goals / game
2.8
2.9
goals allowed / game
3.3
6−7
season record
4−9
4−3
home record
3−5
2−4
away record
1−4
W1
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
3−7
27.2
shots / game
25.6
49.2
faceoff %
50.6
19.4
hits / game
22.7
11.5
blocked shots / game
15.2
3.6
takeaways / game
4.8
16.9
giveaways / game
17.0

Rating Trend

STL · NSH · 32 days
St. Louis BluesNashville Predators
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NSH 5−5
Oct 17at NSHNSH 5 − 2
Feb 2at NSHNSH 6 − 5
Dec 27, 2025at STLSTL 3 − 2
Dec 15, 2025at STLNSH 5 − 2
Dec 11, 2025at NSHNSH 7 − 2
Mar 27, 2025at NSHSTL 3 − 2
Mar 23, 2025at STLSTL 4 − 1
Mar 18, 2025at NSHSTL 4 − 1
Dec 27, 2024at STLSTL 7 − 4
Apr 4, 2024at NSHNSH 6 − 3

STL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 29vs BOS4 − 1W
Oct 27vs MTL0 − 2L
Oct 24vs CAR0 − 4L
Oct 22vs VGK6 − 2W
Oct 20vs WPG2 − 1W
Oct 17at NSH2 − 5L
Oct 15at MIN4 − 5L
Oct 13at OTT7 − 2W
Oct 10vs CBJ5 − 3W
Oct 8vs SJ2 − 3L

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 29vs WSH3 − 4L
Oct 27vs NYI3 − 4L
Oct 25vs COL6 − 2W
Oct 24at PIT2 − 3L
Oct 22at BOS0 − 6L
Oct 17vs STL5 − 2W
Oct 15vs SJ2 − 3L
Oct 13vs VGK2 − 5L
Oct 10at OTT2 − 3L
Oct 8at MTL5 − 2W