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Canucks at Oilers

NHL · Saturday, Nov 7 · 9:00 PM CT · Rogers Place · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 7

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
EDM by 1.3
Expected score
EDM 4.5 – 3.1 VAN
Expected total
7.6
CanucksThe matchupOilers
+279Our fair odds−279
3.1Expected goals4.5
−0.81Power rating+0.13
3.0Goals / game4.3
4.5Allowed / game3.3
21.0Shots / game26.2
47.2Faceoff %49.4
23.6Hits / game26.5
3−12Season record9−4
1−9Last 107−3
Akil Thomas C · Filip Chytil C
Mackenzie MacEachern LW · Thatcher Demko GOutAlec Regula D · Devon Levi G
Frederik Andersen G · Matt Savoie C
Mattias Janmark C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
VAN chance · EDM chance
Our model fair26.4%73.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
VANVancouver Canucks+27926%————
EDMEdmonton Oilers−27974%————
SpreadEDM by 1.3
VANVancouver Canucks+1.3our margin————
EDMEdmonton Oilers−1.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 7.6
Over7.6our total————
Under7.6our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Edmonton Oilers by 1.3 expected
Vancouver Canucks by 8 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 7 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 6 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 5 goals: 1%Vancouver Canucks by 4 goals: 3%Vancouver Canucks by 3 goals: 6%Vancouver Canucks by 2 goals: 6%Vancouver Canucks by 1 goal: 11%Edmonton Oilers by 1 goal: 24%Edmonton Oilers by 2 goals: 12%Edmonton Oilers by 3 goals: 17%Edmonton Oilers by 4 goals: 12%Edmonton Oilers by 5 goals: 5%Edmonton Oilers by 6 goals: 1%Edmonton Oilers by 7 goals: 1%Edmonton Oilers by 8 goals: <1%
← VAN wins byEDM wins by →
Edmonton Oilers wins by 2 or more49%
Edmonton Oilers wins by 3 or more37%
Vancouver Canucks wins by 2 or more16%
Decided by one goal35%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Total range

7.6 expected
2 goals: 1%3 goals: 5%4 goals: 5%5 goals: 14%6 goals: 10%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 10%9 goals: 15%10 goals: 7%11 goals: 8%12 goals: 3%13 goals: 3%14 goals: 1%15 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 6.566%
Total over 7.547%
Total over 8.537%
Total from 7 to 829%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,072 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
VANnot announced yet
EDMnot announced yet

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
VAN·EDM
Oct 29 at SJ
last game
Oct 31 at NYI
8 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
1
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Vancouver Canucks
VANAkil Thomas C · undisclosedIR
VANFilip Chytil C · upper body, back about Nov 7IR
VANMackenzie MacEachern LW · undisclosedIR
VANThatcher Demko G · hip surgery, back about Dec 21IR
Edmonton Oilers
EDMIsaac Howard LW · lower bodyDay-to-day
EDMAlec Regula D · undisclosedIR
EDMDevon Levi G · undisclosed, back about Nov 9IR
EDMFrederik Andersen G · knee, back about Dec 30IR
EDMMatt Savoie C · lower body, back about Nov 24IR
EDMMattias Janmark C · undisclosed surgeryIR
EDMZach Hyman LW · neckIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
VAN·EDM
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
+0.13
3.0
goals / game
4.3
4.5
goals allowed / game
3.3
3−12
season record
9−4
1−5
home record
4−4
2−7
away record
5−0
L1
streak
W1
1−9
last 10
7−3
21.0
shots / game
26.2
47.2
faceoff %
49.4
23.6
hits / game
26.5
14.4
blocked shots / game
14.0
4.3
takeaways / game
3.5
16.9
giveaways / game
15.8

Rating Trend

VAN · EDM · 32 days
Vancouver CanucksEdmonton Oilers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · EDM 7−3
Oct 1at VANEDM 9 − 7
Sep 29at EDMVAN 6 − 5 OT
Apr 16at EDMEDM 6 − 1
Jan 17at VANEDM 6 − 0
Oct 26, 2025at VANVAN 4 − 3 OT
Oct 11, 2025at EDMEDM 3 − 1
Jan 23, 2025at EDMEDM 6 − 2
Jan 18, 2025at VANVAN 3 − 2
Nov 9, 2024at VANEDM 7 − 3
May 20, 2024at VANEDM 3 − 2post

VAN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L1
Oct 29at SJ2 − 3L
Oct 27at ANA6 − 5W
Oct 25vs MIN2 − 4L
Oct 22vs DET2 − 5L
Oct 20vs CAR3 − 6L
Oct 17at TB2 − 4L
Oct 15at FLA2 − 3L
Oct 13at NYI2 − 3L
Oct 11at NYR2 − 6L
Oct 10at NJ1 − 4L

EDM · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 28vs CGY4 − 0W
Oct 26vs DET3 − 4L
Oct 24vs TOR2 − 7L
Oct 22vs CAR6 − 5W
Oct 20vs MIN4 − 3W
Oct 17at UTAH6 − 2W
Oct 15vs UTAH2 − 4L
Oct 13at LA4 − 1W
Oct 10at SJ3 − 1W
Oct 7at ANA5 − 2W