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Grizzlies at Suns

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 9:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final MEM 114 – PHX 113
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM27223233114
PHX26272535113
Team box
MEM·PHX
44-93
field goals
41-86
15-38
3-pointers
16-40
11-13
free throws
15-17
41
rebounds
40
31
assists
25
17
turnovers
21
54
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX363243
Ja MorantMEM322887
Mark WilliamsPHX2820121
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM321863
Royce O'NealePHX351835
Santi AldamaMEM3114105

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +10
MEM +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 8 · MEM 10lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 52%, PHX 48% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 2.0
Expected score
MEM 120.5 – 118.5 PHX
Expected total
239.1
GrizzliesThe matchupSuns
−109Our fair odds+109
120.5Expected points118.5
+0.09Power rating−0.24
122.0Points / game116.8
125.5Allowed / game129.0
45.2FG%43.2
32.03P%33.2
42.0Rebounds / game43.5
2−2Season record1−3
3−7Last 102−8
Brandon Clarke · Scotty Pippen Jr.
Ty Jerome · Zach EdeyOutCJ Huntley · Dillon Brooks
Koby Brea

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · PHX chance
Our model fair52.1%47.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−10952%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+10948%————
SpreadMEM by 2.0
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−2our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+2our margin————
Totalwe expect 239.1
Over239.1our total————
Under239.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 2.0 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%
← MEM wins byPHX wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more45%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more31%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

239.1 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 229.567%
Total over 239.548%
Total over 249.530%
Total from 230 to 24937%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GKentavious Caldwell-Popestarted
GJa Morantstarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CJock Landalestarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·PHX
Oct 27, 2025 at GS
last game
Oct 27, 2025 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; surgery recoveryOut
MEMSanti Aldama · left shoulder; sorenessQuestionable
MEMVince Williams Jr. · right ankle; impingementQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXCJ Huntley · g league - two-wayOut
PHXDillon Brooks · right groin; sorenessOut
PHXKoby Brea · g league - two-wayOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
MEM·PHX
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.24
122.0
points / game
116.8
125.5
points allowed / game
129.0
2−2
season record
1−3
2−1
home record
1−0
0−1
away record
0−3
L1
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
2−8
45.2
FG%
43.2
32.0
3P%
33.2
42.0
rebounds / game
43.5
28.0
assists / game
26.8
14.0
turnovers / game
17.0
51.0
points in paint / game
45.5

Rating Trend

MEM · PHX · 2 days
Memphis GrizzliesPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 4−6
Mar 10, 2025at MEMMEM 120 − 118
Feb 25, 2025at MEMMEM 151 − 148
Feb 11, 2025at PHXMEM 119 − 112
Dec 31, 2024at PHXMEM 117 − 112
Jan 7, 2024at PHXMEM 121 − 115
Dec 2, 2023at PHXPHX 116 − 109
Nov 24, 2023at MEMPHX 110 − 89
Jan 22, 2023at PHXPHX 112 − 110
Jan 16, 2023at MEMMEM 136 − 106
Dec 27, 2022at MEMPHX 125 − 108

MEM · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 27, 2025at GS118 − 131L
Oct 25, 2025vs IND128 − 103W
Oct 24, 2025vs MIA114 − 146L
Oct 22, 2025vs NO128 − 122W
Apr 26, 2025vs OKC115 − 117L
Apr 24, 2025vs OKC108 − 114L
Apr 22, 2025at OKC99 − 118L
Apr 20, 2025at OKC80 − 131L
Apr 13, 2025vs DAL132 − 97W
Apr 11, 2025at DEN109 − 117L

PHX · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 27, 2025at UTAH134 − 138L
Oct 25, 2025at DEN111 − 133L
Oct 24, 2025at LAC102 − 129L
Oct 22, 2025vs SAC120 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025at SAC98 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs SA117 − 98W
Apr 9, 2025vs OKC112 − 125L
Apr 8, 2025vs GS95 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025at NY98 − 112L
Apr 4, 2025at BOS103 − 123L