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Pelicans at Clippers

NBA · Friday, Oct 31 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final NO 124 – LAC 126
← NBA / Oct 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO28312540124
LAC26412732126
Team box
NO·LAC
40-83
field goals
46-89
18-37
3-pointers
15-39
26-29
free throws
19-21
43
rebounds
37
28
assists
28
15
turnovers
12
44
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC363455
Jordan PooleNO333022
Zion WilliamsonNO332963
James HardenLAC3924514
Trey Murphy IIINO341756
Derrick Jones Jr.LAC291631

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +17
NO +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 17 · NO 7lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 20%, LAC 80% · Updated Oct 31, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 12.7
Expected score
LAC 118.3 – 105.7 NO
Expected total
224.0
PelicansThe matchupClippers
+401Our fair odds−401
105.7Expected points118.3
−0.74Power rating+0.45
104.0Points / game107.5
123.0Allowed / game109.0
40.0FG%48.8
28.53P%35.8
40.8Rebounds / game44.0
0−4Season record2−2
0−10Last 105−5
Dejounte Murray · Hunter Dickinson
Kevon Looney · Trey AlexanderOutJordan Miller · Kobe Sanders
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · LAC chance
Our model fair20.0%80.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+40120%————
LACLA Clippers−40180%————
SpreadLAC by 12.7
NONew Orleans Pelicans+12.7our margin————
LACLA Clippers−12.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.0
Over224.0our total————
Under224.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 12.7 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 53 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 52 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 51 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 50 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 49 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 3%LA Clippers by 17 points: 3%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 2%LA Clippers by 25 points: 2%LA Clippers by 26 points: 2%LA Clippers by 27 points: 2%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: 1%LA Clippers by 38 points: 1%LA Clippers by 39 points: 1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%LA Clippers by 53 points: <1%
← NO wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more73%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more59%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more43%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.0 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.568%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.529%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FZion Williamsonstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CYves Missistarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GBradley Bealstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·LAC
Oct 29, 2025 at DEN
last game
Oct 28, 2025 at GS
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 31, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOKevon Looney · left knee; sprainOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
LA Clippers
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; strainOut
LACKobe Sanders · right knee; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
NO·LAC
−0.74
rating (0 = average)
+0.45
104.0
points / game
107.5
123.0
points allowed / game
109.0
0−4
season record
2−2
0−2
home record
2−0
0−2
away record
0−2
L4
streak
L1
0−10
last 10
5−5
40.0
FG%
48.8
28.5
3P%
35.8
40.8
rebounds / game
44.0
19.5
assists / game
24.0
14.5
turnovers / game
18.5
52.0
points in paint / game
50.5

Rating Trend

NO · LAC · 4 days
New Orleans PelicansLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 3−7
Apr 2, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 98
Mar 11, 2025at NONO 127 − 120
Dec 30, 2024at NOLAC 116 − 113
Mar 15, 2024at NONO 112 − 104
Feb 7, 2024at LACNO 117 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at NOLAC 111 − 95
Nov 24, 2023at LACNO 116 − 106
Apr 1, 2023at NONO 122 − 114
Mar 25, 2023at LACNO 131 − 110
Oct 30, 2022at LACNO 112 − 91

NO · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Oct 29, 2025at DEN88 − 122L
Oct 27, 2025vs BOS90 − 122L
Oct 24, 2025vs SA116 − 120L
Oct 22, 2025at MEM122 − 128L
Apr 13, 2025vs OKC100 − 115L
Apr 11, 2025vs MIA104 − 153L
Apr 10, 2025at MIL111 − 136L
Apr 8, 2025at BKN114 − 119L
Apr 6, 2025vs MIL107 − 111L
Apr 4, 2025at LAL108 − 124L

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L
May 1, 2025vs DEN111 − 105W
Apr 29, 2025at DEN115 − 131L
Apr 26, 2025vs DEN99 − 101L
Apr 24, 2025vs DEN117 − 83W
Apr 21, 2025at DEN105 − 102W