bayesRatings

Knicks at Bulls

NBA · Friday, Oct 31 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final NY 125 – CHI 135
← NBA / Oct 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY27263834125
CHI35372835135
Team box
NY·CHI
45-91
field goals
45-84
18-45
3-pointers
17-37
17-23
free throws
28-35
39
rebounds
41
27
assists
31
12
turnovers
9
38
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Josh GiddeyCHI3832109
Jalen BrunsonNY352927
Nikola VucevicCHI312672
OG AnunobyNY362643
Mikal BridgesNY382346
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3222104

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +22
NY +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 22 · NY 8lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 55%, CHI 45% · Updated Oct 31, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 1.5
Expected score
NY 116.4 – 114.9 CHI
Expected total
231.3
KnicksThe matchupBulls
−121Our fair odds+121
116.4Expected points114.9
+0.43Power rating−0.00
110.5Points / game119.8
110.5Allowed / game111.2
40.5FG%49.5
33.23P%38.8
49.5Rebounds / game48.2
2−2Season record4−0
4−6Last 109−1
—OutCoby White · Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · CHI chance
Our model fair54.7%45.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−12155%————
CHIChicago Bulls+12145%————
SpreadNY by 1.5
NYNew York Knicks−1.5our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.3
Over231.3our total————
Under231.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 1.5 expected
New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%
← NY wins byCHI wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more44%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more30%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.3 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.549%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·CHI
Oct 28, 2025 at MIL
last game
Oct 29, 2025 vs SAC
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 31, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementQuestionable
NYGuerschon Yabusele · left knee; sprainProbable
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right quad; strainProbable
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
NY·CHI
+0.43
rating (0 = average)
−0.00
110.5
points / game
119.8
110.5
points allowed / game
111.2
2−2
season record
4−0
2−0
home record
3−0
0−2
away record
1−0
L2
streak
W4
4−6
last 10
9−1
40.5
FG%
49.5
33.2
3P%
38.8
49.5
rebounds / game
48.2
23.0
assists / game
30.5
15.8
turnovers / game
18.0
39.0
points in paint / game
59.5

Rating Trend

NY · CHI · 4 days
New York KnicksChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 4−6
Feb 20, 2025at NYNY 113 − 111
Jan 4, 2025at CHICHI 139 − 126
Nov 13, 2024at NYCHI 124 − 123
Apr 14, 2024at NYNY 120 − 119
Apr 9, 2024at CHINY 128 − 117
Apr 5, 2024at CHICHI 108 − 100
Jan 3, 2024at NYNY 116 − 100
Dec 23, 2022at NYCHI 118 − 117
Dec 16, 2022at CHINY 114 − 91
Dec 14, 2022at CHINY 128 − 120

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W
May 23, 2025vs IND109 − 114L
May 21, 2025vs IND135 − 138L

CHI · Last 10

9−1 · streak W7
Oct 29, 2025vs SAC126 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025vs ATL128 − 123W
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L
Apr 6, 2025at CHA131 − 117W
Apr 4, 2025vs POR118 − 113W