Final · our forecast was UTAH 31%, PHX 69% · Updated Oct 31, 2025
Expected margin
PHX by 5.1
Expected score
PHX 122.0 – 116.9 UTAH
Expected total
238.9
JazzThe matchupSuns
+225Our fair odds−225
116.9Expected points122.0
−0.83Power rating−0.24
126.2Points / game116.0
120.8Allowed / game126.0
47.2FG%44.2
33.83P%34.6
51.5Rebounds / game42.8
2−2Season record1−4
3−7Last 102−8
Georges Niang · Isaiah Collier John Tonje · Oscar TshiebweOut (4 each)CJ Huntley · Dillon Brooks Jalen Green · Koby Brea
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · PHX chance
Our model fair30.8%69.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshi
Polymarket US
ProphetX
Novig
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz
+22531%
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—
—
—
PHXPhoenix Suns
−22569%
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—
—
—
SpreadPHX by 5.1
UTAHUtah Jazz
+5.1our margin
—
—
—
—
PHXPhoenix Suns
−5.1our margin
—
—
—
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Totalwe expect 238.9
Over
238.9our total
—
—
—
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Under
238.9our total
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—
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These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Phoenix Suns by 5.1 expected
40302010010203040
← UTAH wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more54%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more39%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
238.9 expected
200220240260280
Total points, both teams
Total over 228.568%
Total over 238.549%
Total over 248.531%
Total from 229 to 24837%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.