Final Box Score
from the game summary| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 38 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 130 |
| CLE | 26 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 93 |
Team box
NY·CLE
48-98
field goals
32-77
19-43
3-pointers
11-40
15-20
free throws
18-22
60
rebounds
33
33
assists
21
15
turnovers
22
50
points in paint
36
Top performers
| Player | Team | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 32 | 31 | 4 | 1 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 26 | 19 | 14 | 3 |
| OG Anunoby | NY | 27 | 17 | 7 | 4 |
| Landry Shamet | NY | 19 | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| Evan Mobley | CLE | 33 | 15 | 7 | 4 |
| Mikal Bridges | NY | 30 | 15 | 3 | 5 |
For context, not in our forecast.
Game Flow
score marginCLE +45
NY +45
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 6 · NY 45lead changes: 5
For context, not in our forecast.
New York Knicks
54−29 · 11−2 post · ranked #4 · away · won
130
Cleveland Cavaliers
52−30 · 8−9 post · ranked #6 · home
93
Final · our forecast was NY 48%, CLE 52% · Updated May 25
Expected margin
NY by 0.6
Expected score
NY 113.8 – 113.2 CLE
Expected total
227.1
KnicksThe matchupCavaliers
+107Our fair odds−107
113.8Expected points113.2
+0.78Power rating+0.61
116.5Points / game119.5
110.2Allowed / game115.4
47.7FG%48.3
37.23P%36.1
45.8Rebounds / game44.4
54−29 · 11−2 postSeason record52−30 · 8−9 post
10−0Last 104−6
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · NovigNY chance · CLE chance
Our model fair
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
| Team | Our modelfair | Kalshi | Polymarket US | ProphetX | Novig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | |||||
| NYNew York Knicks | +10748% | — | — | — | — |
| CLECleveland Cavaliers | −10752% | — | — | — | — |
| SpreadNY by 0.6 | |||||
| NYNew York Knicks | −0.6our margin | — | — | — | — |
| CLECleveland Cavaliers | +0.6our margin | — | — | — | — |
| Totalwe expect 227.1 | |||||
| Over | 227.1our total | — | — | — | — |
| Under | 227.1our total | — | — | — | — |
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
New York Knicks by 0.6 expected← NY wins byCLE wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more41%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more28%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
227.1 expectedTotal points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Starting Lineups
from the box scoreNew York Knicks
Cleveland Cavaliers
For context, not in our forecast.
Rest and Schedule
before this game
NY·CLE
May 23 at CLE
last game
May 23 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game
For context, not in our forecast.
Team Comparison
2025–26 season · box-score averages from 82+ games
NY·CLE
+0.78
rating (0 = average)
+0.61
116.5
points / game
119.5
110.2
points allowed / game
115.4
54−29 · 11−2 post
season record
52−30 · 8−9 post
31−10
home record
27−14
23−19
away record
25−16
W10
streak
L3
10−0
last 10
4−6
47.7
FG%
48.3
37.2
3P%
36.1
45.8
rebounds / game
44.4
27.4
assists / game
28.3
13.6
turnovers / game
14.0
47.9
points in paint / game
52.0
Rating Trend
NY · CLE · 194 daysNew York KnicksCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · CLE 5−5Apr 11, 2025at NYCLE 108 − 102
Apr 2, 2025at CLECLE 124 − 105
Feb 21, 2025at CLECLE 142 − 105
Oct 28, 2024at NYCLE 110 − 104