Final · our forecast was NY 63%, PHI 37% · Updated May 10
Expected margin
NY by 6.3
Expected score
NY 115.2 – 108.9 PHI
Expected total
224.1
KnicksThe matchup76ers
−172Our fair odds+172
115.2Expected points108.9
+0.74Power rating−0.06
116.5Points / game115.9
110.2Allowed / game116.1
47.7FG%46.3
37.23P%34.4
45.8Rebounds / game43.6
54−29 · 7−2 postSeason record45−37 · 4−6 post
7−3Last 104−6
OG AnunobyOut—
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · PHI chance
Our model fair63.3%36.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshi
Polymarket US
ProphetX
Novig
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks
−17263%
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—
—
—
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers
+17237%
—
—
—
—
SpreadNY by 6.3
NYNew York Knicks
−6.3our margin
—
—
—
—
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers
+6.3our margin
—
—
—
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Totalwe expect 224.1
Over
224.1our total
—
—
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Under
224.1our total
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These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
New York Knicks by 6.3 expected
40302010010203040
← NY wins byPHI wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more58%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more42%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
224.1 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.568%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.529%
Total from 215 to 23439%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.