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Hornets at Knicks

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 5:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CHA 110 – NY 96
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA30273023110
NY2024292396
Team box
CHA·NY
39-85
field goals
39-90
19-52
3-pointers
13-40
13-17
free throws
5-8
46
rebounds
39
27
assists
25
18
turnovers
11
40
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Miles McBrideNY242131
LaMelo BallCHA291976
Brandon MillerCHA271932
Coby WhiteCHA161912
Jose AlvaradoNY341657
Kon KnueppelCHA311465

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +21
CHA +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 3 · CHA 21lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 33%, NY 67% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
NY by 4.6
Expected score
NY 112.5 – 108.0 CHA
Expected total
220.5
HornetsThe matchupKnicks
+199Our fair odds−199
108.0Expected points112.5
+0.14Power rating+0.62
116.1Points / game116.8
111.4Allowed / game110.2
46.1FG%47.8
37.93P%37.3
46.1Rebounds / game45.9
43−38Season record54−28
6−4Last 107−3
Antonio Reeves · PJ Hall
Tosan EvbuomwanOutJalen Brunson · Josh Hart
Karl-Anthony Towns · Landry Shamet
Mitchell Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · NY chance
Our model fair33.5%66.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+19933%————
NYNew York Knicks−19967%————
SpreadNY by 4.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+4.6our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−4.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.5
Over220.5our total————
Under220.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%
← CHA wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more53%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.5 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJose Alvaradostarted
GMiles McBridestarted
FMohamed Diawarastarted
CAriel Hukportistarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·NY
Apr 10 vs DET
last game
Apr 10 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAPJ Hall · right ankle; surgeryOut
CHATosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut
New York Knicks
NYJalen Brunson · right ankle; right ankle injury managementOut
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; right ankle injury managementOut
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · injury management right elbow; right elbow injury managementOut
NYLandry Shamet · right knee; right kneeOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYOG Anunoby · left ankle; left ankle sprainOut
NYTyler Kolek · right oblique; right oblique strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
CHA·NY
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.62
116.1
points / game
116.8
111.4
points allowed / game
110.2
43−38
season record
54−28
21−20
home record
31−9
22−18
away record
23−19
L2
streak
W5
6−4
last 10
7−3
46.1
FG%
47.8
37.9
3P%
37.3
46.1
rebounds / game
45.9
26.3
assists / game
27.5
15.4
turnovers / game
13.6
45.3
points in paint / game
47.9

Rating Trend

CHA · NY · 158 days
Charlotte HornetsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 8−2
Mar 26at CHACHA 114 − 103
Dec 3, 2025at NYNY 119 − 104
Nov 26, 2025at CHANY 129 − 101
Mar 20, 2025at CHACHA 115 − 98
Dec 5, 2024at NYNY 125 − 101
Nov 29, 2024at CHANY 99 − 98
Jan 29, 2024at CHANY 113 − 92
Nov 28, 2023at NYNY 115 − 91
Nov 18, 2023at CHANY 122 − 108
Nov 12, 2023at NYNY 129 − 107

CHA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W
Apr 2vs PHX127 − 107W
Mar 31at BKN117 − 86W
Mar 29vs BOS99 − 114L
Mar 28vs PHI114 − 118L
Mar 26vs NY114 − 103W
Mar 24vs SAC134 − 90W

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W5
Apr 10vs TOR112 − 95W
Apr 9vs BOS112 − 106W
Apr 6at ATL108 − 105W
Apr 3vs CHI136 − 96W
Apr 1at MEM130 − 119W
Mar 31at HOU94 − 111L
Mar 29at OKC100 − 111L
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W