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Wizards at Knicks

NBA · Sunday, Mar 22 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final WSH 113 – NY 145
← NBA / Mar 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH27252932113
NY32363740145
Team box
WSH·NY
43-89
field goals
55-94
18-47
3-pointers
17-32
9-13
free throws
18-19
28
rebounds
48
25
assists
32
15
turnovers
14
38
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY2626163
Jaden HardyWSH292531
Jalen BrunsonNY282304
Anthony GillWSH261850
Josh HartNY281664
Bub CarringtonWSH341418

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +33
WSH +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 33 · WSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 12%, NY 88% · Updated Mar 22

Expected margin
NY by 17.7
Expected score
NY 123.8 – 106.1 WSH
Expected total
229.8
WizardsThe matchupKnicks
+736Our fair odds−736
106.1Expected points123.8
−1.25Power rating+0.58
112.5Points / game116.9
123.8Allowed / game110.4
46.1FG%47.3
35.63P%37.1
42.4Rebounds / game46.5
16−54Season record47−25
0−10Last 107−3
Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Cam Whitmore · D'Angelo Russell
Justin ChampagnieOutLandry Shamet · Miles McBride

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · NY chance
Our model fair12.0%88.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+73612%————
NYNew York Knicks−73688%————
SpreadNY by 17.7
WSHWashington Wizards+17.7our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−17.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.8
Over229.8our total————
Under229.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 17.7 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%New York Knicks by 1 point: 1%New York Knicks by 2 points: 1%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 3%New York Knicks by 18 points: 3%New York Knicks by 19 points: 3%New York Knicks by 20 points: 3%New York Knicks by 21 points: 3%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 2%New York Knicks by 27 points: 2%New York Knicks by 28 points: 2%New York Knicks by 29 points: 2%New York Knicks by 30 points: 2%New York Knicks by 31 points: 2%New York Knicks by 32 points: 2%New York Knicks by 33 points: 2%New York Knicks by 34 points: 2%New York Knicks by 35 points: 2%New York Knicks by 36 points: 2%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: 1%New York Knicks by 40 points: 1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more84%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more73%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more59%
Within 5 points either way13%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.8 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.550%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GJamir Watkinsstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GWill Rileystarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·NY
Mar 21 vs OKC
last game
Mar 20 at BKN
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 22, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHJustin Champagnie · league suspensionOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHLeaky Black · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · right foot; sprainOut
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right knee; sorenessOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYAriel Hukporti · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYJosh Hart · right knee; patella femoral syndromeQuestionable
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYTyler Kolek · g league - on assignmentQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 70+ games
WSH·NY
−1.25
rating (0 = average)
+0.58
112.5
points / game
116.9
123.8
points allowed / game
110.4
16−54
season record
47−25
11−26
home record
26−9
5−28
away record
21−16
L15
streak
W5
0−10
last 10
7−3
46.1
FG%
47.3
35.6
3P%
37.1
42.4
rebounds / game
46.5
25.0
assists / game
27.4
15.7
turnovers / game
13.8
46.8
points in paint / game
47.4

Rating Trend

WSH · NY · 138 days
Washington WizardsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 10−0
Feb 3at WSHNY 132 − 101
Nov 3, 2025at NYNY 119 − 102
Mar 22, 2025at NYNY 122 − 103
Dec 30, 2024at WSHNY 126 − 106
Dec 28, 2024at WSHNY 136 − 132
Nov 18, 2024at NYNY 134 − 106
Jan 18, 2024at NYNY 113 − 109
Jan 6, 2024at WSHNY 121 − 105
Nov 17, 2023at WSHNY 120 − 99
Apr 2, 2023at NYNY 118 − 109

WSH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L
Mar 8at NO118 − 138L
Mar 5vs UTAH112 − 122L
Mar 3at ORL109 − 126L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W5
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W
Mar 17vs IND136 − 110W
Mar 15vs GS110 − 107W
Mar 13at IND101 − 92W
Mar 11at UTAH134 − 117W
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W
Mar 4vs OKC100 − 103L
Mar 3at TOR111 − 95W