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Knicks at Pacers

NBA · Friday, Mar 13 · 6:30 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final NY 101 – IND 92
← NBA / Mar 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY24322025101
IND2124291892
Team box
NY·IND
37-88
field goals
35-89
8-28
3-pointers
10-38
19-25
free throws
12-15
53
rebounds
46
20
assists
21
12
turnovers
11
46
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY372959
OG AnunobyNY342585
Jarace WalkerIND381893
Mitchell RobinsonNY3112220
Aaron NesmithIND341222
Ivica ZubacIND291181

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +15
NY +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 2 · NY 15lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 69%, IND 31% · Updated Mar 13

Expected margin
NY by 7.9
Expected score
NY 118.8 – 110.8 IND
Expected total
229.6
KnicksThe matchupPacers
−224Our fair odds+224
118.8Expected points110.8
+0.54Power rating−0.45
117.3Points / game111.3
111.0Allowed / game120.0
47.4FG%45.0
37.43P%34.6
46.3Rebounds / game42.2
43−25Season record15−51
6−4Last 100−10
Miles McBrideOutJohnny Furphy · Tyrese Haliburton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · IND chance
Our model fair69.1%30.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−22469%————
INDIndiana Pacers+22431%————
SpreadNY by 7.9
NYNew York Knicks−7.9our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers+7.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.6
Over229.6our total————
Under229.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 7.9 expected
New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%
← NY wins byIND wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more62%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more46%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.6 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GLandry Shametstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GAaron Nesmithstarted
GKobe Brownstarted
FJarace Walkerstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·IND
Mar 11 at UTAH
last game
Mar 12 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 13, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYJeremy Sochan · illness; illnessDoubtful
NYJosh Hart · left knee; sorenessDoubtful
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · bilateral knee; bilateral knee sorenessDoubtful
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayQuestionable
Indiana Pacers
INDJohnny Furphy · right acl; tearOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDEthan Thompson · g league - two-wayDoubtful
INDJalen Slawson · g league - two-wayDoubtful
INDPascal Siakam · right knee; sprainDoubtful
INDQuenton Jackson · right calf; sorenessDoubtful
INDTaelon Peter · g league - two-wayDoubtful
INDAndrew Nembhard · low back and neck; sorenessQuestionable
INDIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
INDAaron Nesmith · right ankle; injury managementProbable
and 2 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 66+ games
NY·IND
+0.54
rating (0 = average)
−0.45
117.3
points / game
111.3
111.0
points allowed / game
120.0
43−25
season record
15−51
24−9
home record
10−23
19−16
away record
5−28
W1
streak
L11
6−4
last 10
0−10
47.4
FG%
45.0
37.4
3P%
34.6
46.3
rebounds / game
42.2
27.5
assists / game
26.5
13.7
turnovers / game
14.4
47.5
points in paint / game
45.7

Rating Trend

NY · IND · 129 days
New York KnicksIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 6−4
Feb 10at NYIND 137 − 134
Dec 18, 2025at INDNY 114 − 113
May 31, 2025at INDIND 125 − 108post
May 29, 2025at NYNY 111 − 94post
May 27, 2025at INDIND 130 − 121post
May 25, 2025at INDNY 106 − 100post
May 23, 2025at NYIND 114 − 109post
May 21, 2025at NYIND 138 − 135post
Feb 11, 2025at INDNY 128 − 115
Nov 10, 2024at INDIND 132 − 121

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Mar 11at UTAH134 − 117W
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W
Mar 4vs OKC100 − 103L
Mar 3at TOR111 − 95W
Mar 1vs SA114 − 89W
Feb 27at MIL127 − 98W
Feb 24at CLE94 − 109L
Feb 22at CHI105 − 99W

IND · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 12vs PHX108 − 123L
Mar 10at SAC109 − 114L
Mar 8at POR111 − 131L
Mar 6at LAL117 − 128L
Mar 4at LAC107 − 130L
Mar 1vs MEM106 − 125L
Feb 26vs CHA109 − 133L
Feb 24vs PHI114 − 135L
Feb 22vs DAL130 − 134L
Feb 20at WSH118 − 131L