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Knicks at Raptors

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final NY 111 – TOR 95
← NBA / Mar 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY32361924111
TOR3127241395
Team box
NY·TOR
46-81
field goals
35-77
10-29
3-pointers
8-28
9-12
free throws
17-19
43
rebounds
28
32
assists
24
18
turnovers
15
52
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR373124
Jalen BrunsonNY3726210
Karl-Anthony TownsNY2921126
RJ BarrettTOR372043
OG AnunobyNY271550
Scottie BarnesTOR361441

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +16
NY +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 10 · NY 16lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 59%, TOR 41% · Updated Mar 3

Expected margin
NY by 3.3
Expected score
NY 113.4 – 110.0 TOR
Expected total
223.4
KnicksThe matchupRaptors
−142Our fair odds+142
113.4Expected points110.0
+0.53Power rating+0.01
117.3Points / game114.0
111.2Allowed / game112.0
47.1FG%47.3
37.63P%34.7
46.2Rebounds / game42.9
40−22Season record35−25
6−4Last 106−4
Dillon Jones · Miles McBride
Pacome Dadiet · Trey Jemison IIIOutChucky Hepburn · Collin Murray-Boyles

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · TOR chance
Our model fair58.7%41.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−14259%————
TORToronto Raptors+14241%————
SpreadNY by 3.3
NYNew York Knicks−3.3our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+3.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.4
Over223.4our total————
Under223.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.3 expected
New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%
← NY wins byTOR wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more49%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more34%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.4 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·TOR
Mar 1 vs SA
last game
Feb 28 at WSH
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 2, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 60+ games
NY·TOR
+0.53
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
117.3
points / game
114.0
111.2
points allowed / game
112.0
40−22
season record
35−25
24−8
home record
16−15
16−14
away record
19−10
W2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
6−4
47.1
FG%
47.3
37.6
3P%
34.7
46.2
rebounds / game
42.9
27.1
assists / game
29.1
13.5
turnovers / game
13.9
46.8
points in paint / game
51.9

Rating Trend

NY · TOR · 119 days
New York KnicksToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 0−10
Jan 28at TORNY 119 − 92
Dec 9, 2025at TORNY 117 − 101
Nov 30, 2025at NYNY 116 − 94
Feb 4, 2025at TORNY 121 − 115
Jan 8, 2025at NYNY 112 − 98
Dec 23, 2024at NYNY 139 − 125
Dec 9, 2024at TORNY 113 − 108
Mar 27, 2024at TORNY 145 − 101
Jan 20, 2024at NYNY 126 − 100
Dec 11, 2023at NYNY 136 − 130

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Mar 1vs SA114 − 89W
Feb 27at MIL127 − 98W
Feb 24at CLE94 − 109L
Feb 22at CHI105 − 99W
Feb 21vs HOU108 − 106W
Feb 19vs DET111 − 126L
Feb 11at PHI138 − 89W
Feb 10vs IND134 − 137L
Feb 8at BOS111 − 89W
Feb 6at DET80 − 118L

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Feb 28at WSH134 − 125W
Feb 25vs SA107 − 110L
Feb 24vs OKC107 − 116L
Feb 22at MIL122 − 94W
Feb 19at CHI110 − 101W
Feb 11vs DET95 − 113L
Feb 8vs IND122 − 104W
Feb 5vs CHI123 − 107W
Feb 4vs MIN126 − 128L
Feb 1vs UTAH107 − 100W