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Pistons at Knicks

NBA · Thursday, Feb 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final DET 126 – NY 111
← NBA / Feb 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET28303236126
NY26223132111
Team box
DET·NY
48-93
field goals
41-87
13-30
3-pointers
8-35
17-20
free throws
21-28
44
rebounds
38
30
assists
24
15
turnovers
12
58
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3842813
Jalen BrunsonNY383368
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3121114
Paul ReedDET291872
Landry ShametNY281522
Tobias HarrisDET3211105

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +19
DET +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 7 · DET 19lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 47%, NY 53% · Updated Feb 19

Expected margin
NY by 1.0
Expected score
NY 112.8 – 111.8 DET
Expected total
224.5
PistonsThe matchupKnicks
+113Our fair odds−113
111.8Expected points112.8
+0.56Power rating+0.49
117.2Points / game118.1
109.3Allowed / game111.9
48.2FG%47.1
34.73P%37.9
45.6Rebounds / game46.6
40−13Season record36−20
8−2Last 108−2
Bobi Klintman · Isaiah Stewart
Jalen Duren · Wendell Moore Jr.OutMiles McBride

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · NY chance
Our model fair46.9%53.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons+11347%————
NYNew York Knicks−11353%————
SpreadNY by 1.0
DETDetroit Pistons+1our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 1.0 expected
Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%
← DET wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more43%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more29%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·NY
Feb 11 at TOR
last game
Feb 11 at PHI
7 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 19, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaiah Stewart · league suspensionOut
DETJalen Duren · league suspensionOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
New York Knicks
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayQuestionable
NYOG Anunoby · right toe; toenail avulsionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 53+ games
DET·NY
+0.56
rating (0 = average)
+0.49
117.2
points / game
118.1
109.3
points allowed / game
111.9
40−13
season record
36−20
22−6
home record
22−7
18−7
away record
14−13
W3
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
8−2
48.2
FG%
47.1
34.7
3P%
37.9
45.6
rebounds / game
46.6
26.6
assists / game
27.2
15.3
turnovers / game
13.6
56.9
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

DET · NY · 107 days
Detroit PistonsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 4−6
Feb 6at DETDET 118 − 80
Jan 5at DETDET 121 − 90
May 1, 2025at DETNY 116 − 113post
Apr 29, 2025at NYDET 106 − 103post
Apr 27, 2025at DETNY 94 − 93post
Apr 24, 2025at DETNY 118 − 116post
Apr 21, 2025at NYDET 100 − 94post
Apr 19, 2025at NYNY 123 − 112post
Apr 10, 2025at DETDET 115 − 106
Jan 13, 2025at NYDET 124 − 119

DET · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Feb 11at TOR113 − 95W
Feb 9at CHA110 − 104W
Feb 6vs NY118 − 80W
Feb 5vs WSH117 − 126L
Feb 3vs DEN124 − 121W
Feb 1vs BKN130 − 77W
Jan 30at GS131 − 124W
Jan 29at PHX96 − 114L
Jan 27at DEN109 − 107W
Jan 25vs SAC139 − 116W

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Feb 11at PHI138 − 89W
Feb 10vs IND134 − 137L
Feb 8at BOS111 − 89W
Feb 6at DET80 − 118L
Feb 4vs DEN134 − 127W
Feb 3at WSH132 − 101W
Feb 1vs LAL112 − 100W
Jan 30vs POR127 − 97W
Jan 28at TOR119 − 92W
Jan 27vs SAC103 − 87W