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Knicks at Celtics

NBA · Sunday, Feb 8 · 11:30 AM CT · TD Garden · Final NY 111 – BOS 89

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY35252526111
BOS2429152189
Team box
NY·BOS
40-83
field goals
34-92
14-35
3-pointers
7-41
17-24
free throws
14-15
46
rebounds
44
23
assists
22
8
turnovers
10
38
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY333138
Jaylen BrownBOS332624
Josh HartNY261963
Derrick WhiteBOS341914
Mikal BridgesNY301441
Jose AlvaradoNY251222

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +24
NY +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 2 · NY 24lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 37%, BOS 63% · Updated Feb 8

Expected margin
BOS by 5.6
Expected score
BOS 112.8 – 107.2 NY
Expected total
220.0
KnicksThe matchupCeltics
+169Our fair odds−169
107.2Expected points112.8
+0.43Power rating+0.74
117.6Points / game115.6
112.3Allowed / game108.4
47.0FG%46.9
37.83P%36.5
46.5Rebounds / game45.4
34−19Season record34−18
8−2Last 108−2
Dillon Jones · Miles McBride
OG Anunoby
Out (3 each)Jayson Tatum · Max Shulga
Sam Hauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · BOS chance
Our model fair37.1%62.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+16937%————
BOSBoston Celtics−16963%————
SpreadBOS by 5.6
NYNew York Knicks+5.6our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−5.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.0
Over220.0our total————
Under220.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 5.6 expected
New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 25 points: <1%New York Knicks by 24 points: <1%New York Knicks by 23 points: <1%New York Knicks by 22 points: <1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 1%New York Knicks by 13 points: 1%New York Knicks by 12 points: 1%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%
← NY wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more55%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more40%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.0 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.568%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.529%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
Boston Celtics
GJaylen Brownstarted
CLuka Garzastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·BOS
Feb 6 at DET
last game
Feb 6 vs MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 8, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYOG Anunoby · right toe; sorenessOut
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSSam Hauser · low back; spasmsOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
NY·BOS
+0.43
rating (0 = average)
+0.74
117.6
points / game
115.6
112.3
points allowed / game
108.4
34−19
season record
34−18
22−6
home record
17−8
12−13
away record
17−10
L1
streak
W5
8−2
last 10
8−2
47.0
FG%
46.9
37.8
3P%
36.5
46.5
rebounds / game
45.4
26.9
assists / game
23.9
13.7
turnovers / game
12.1
47.2
points in paint / game
44.1

Rating Trend

NY · BOS · 102 days
New York KnicksBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 5−5
Dec 2, 2025at BOSBOS 123 − 117
Oct 24, 2025at NYNY 105 − 95
May 16, 2025at NYNY 119 − 81post
May 14, 2025at BOSBOS 127 − 102post
May 12, 2025at NYNY 121 − 113post
May 10, 2025at NYBOS 115 − 93post
May 7, 2025at BOSNY 91 − 90post
May 5, 2025at BOSNY 108 − 105post
Apr 8, 2025at NYBOS 119 − 117
Feb 23, 2025at BOSBOS 118 − 105

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Feb 6at DET80 − 118L
Feb 4vs DEN134 − 127W
Feb 3at WSH132 − 101W
Feb 1vs LAL112 − 100W
Jan 30vs POR127 − 97W
Jan 28at TOR119 − 92W
Jan 27vs SAC103 − 87W
Jan 24at PHI112 − 109W
Jan 21vs BKN120 − 66W
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W5
Feb 6vs MIA98 − 96W
Feb 4at HOU114 − 93W
Feb 3at DAL110 − 100W
Feb 1vs MIL107 − 79W
Jan 30vs SAC112 − 93W
Jan 28vs ATL106 − 117L
Jan 26vs POR102 − 94W
Jan 24at CHI111 − 114L
Jan 23at BKN130 − 126W
Jan 21vs IND119 − 104W