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Trail Blazers at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Jan 30 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final POR 97 – NY 127
← NBA / Jan 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR2227202897
NY37222840127
Team box
POR·NY
35-81
field goals
48-99
13-43
3-pointers
19-45
14-19
free throws
12-14
37
rebounds
52
23
assists
29
20
turnovers
14
42
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shaedon SharpePOR282633
Jalen BrunsonNY342613
OG AnunobyNY312463
Josh HartNY302065
Sidy CissokoPOR271522
Jerami GrantPOR221512

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +33
POR +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 33 · POR 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 34%, NY 66% · Updated Jan 30

Expected margin
NY by 7.0
Expected score
NY 117.1 – 110.1 POR
Expected total
227.2
Trail BlazersThe matchupKnicks
+193Our fair odds−193
110.1Expected points117.1
−0.11Power rating+0.34
115.5Points / game117.6
117.4Allowed / game112.6
44.9FG%47.0
33.63P%37.8
45.8Rebounds / game46.6
23−25Season record30−18
5−5Last 105−5
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Duop Reath · Kris Murray
Matisse ThybulleOutKevin McCullar Jr. · Pacome Dadiet
Trey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · NY chance
Our model fair34.1%65.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+19334%————
NYNew York Knicks−19366%————
SpreadNY by 7.0
PORPortland Trail Blazers+7our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−7our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.2
Over227.2our total————
Under227.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 7.0 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%
← POR wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more59%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more43%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.2 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·NY
Jan 27 at WSH
last game
Jan 28 at TOR
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 30, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDuop Reath · right foot; stress fractureOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; left ankle injury managementDoubtful
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 48+ games
POR·NY
−0.11
rating (0 = average)
+0.34
115.5
points / game
117.6
117.4
points allowed / game
112.6
23−25
season record
30−18
13−11
home record
19−6
10−14
away record
11−12
L3
streak
W4
5−5
last 10
5−5
44.9
FG%
47.0
33.6
3P%
37.8
45.8
rebounds / game
46.6
24.1
assists / game
26.7
16.9
turnovers / game
13.8
48.1
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

POR · NY · 93 days
Portland Trail BlazersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NY 7−2
Jan 11at PORNY 123 − 114
Mar 30, 2025at NYNY 110 − 93
Mar 12, 2025at PORNY 114 − 113
Mar 14, 2024at PORNY 105 − 93
Jan 9, 2024at NYNY 112 − 84
Mar 14, 2023at PORNY 123 − 107
Nov 25, 2022at NYPOR 132 − 129
Mar 16, 2022at NYNY 128 − 98
Feb 12, 2022at PORPOR 112 − 103

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L
Jan 9vs HOU111 − 105W

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak W4
Jan 28at TOR119 − 92W
Jan 27vs SAC103 − 87W
Jan 24at PHI112 − 109W
Jan 21vs BKN120 − 66W
Jan 19vs DAL97 − 114L
Jan 17vs PHX99 − 106L
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L