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Suns at Knicks

NBA · Saturday, Jan 17 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final PHX 106 – NY 99

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX19362526106
NY2729212299
Team box
PHX·NY
34-82
field goals
33-82
15-42
3-pointers
14-44
23-27
free throws
19-25
37
rebounds
47
22
assists
20
12
turnovers
17
28
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX382744
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3523112
Miles McBrideNY362325
OG AnunobyNY392185
Grayson AllenPHX271603
Mikal BridgesNY371531

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +10
PHX +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 10 · PHX 10lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 38%, NY 62% · Updated Jan 17

Expected margin
NY by 4.8
Expected score
NY 116.2 – 111.3 PHX
Expected total
227.5
SunsThe matchupKnicks
+162Our fair odds−162
111.3Expected points116.2
+0.15Power rating+0.41
114.6Points / game119.0
112.0Allowed / game115.1
46.2FG%47.1
36.13P%37.9
43.5Rebounds / game46.1
24−17Season record26−16
6−4Last 103−7
Jalen Green · Jamaree BouyeaOutTrey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · NY chance
Our model fair38.2%61.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+16238%————
NYNew York Knicks−16262%————
SpreadNY by 4.8
PHXPhoenix Suns+4.8our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−4.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.5
Over227.5our total————
Under227.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.8 expected
Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%
← PHX wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more53%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more38%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

227.5 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
New York Knicks
FOG Anunobystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·NY
Jan 15 at DET
last game
Jan 15 at GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 17, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXJamaree Bouyea · concussion protocolOut
PHXDevin Booker · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYJalen Brunson · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 41+ games
PHX·NY
+0.15
rating (0 = average)
+0.41
114.6
points / game
119.0
112.0
points allowed / game
115.1
24−17
season record
26−16
14−5
home record
17−4
10−12
away record
9−12
L2
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
3−7
46.2
FG%
47.1
36.1
3P%
37.9
43.5
rebounds / game
46.1
25.3
assists / game
26.9
15.4
turnovers / game
13.5
45.1
points in paint / game
47.7

Rating Trend

PHX · NY · 80 days
Phoenix SunsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · NY 4−5
Jan 9at PHXPHX 112 − 107
Apr 6, 2025at NYNY 112 − 98
Nov 20, 2024at PHXNY 138 − 122
Dec 15, 2023at PHXNY 139 − 122
Nov 26, 2023at NYPHX 116 − 113
Jan 2, 2023at NYNY 102 − 83
Nov 20, 2022at PHXPHX 116 − 95
Mar 4, 2022at PHXPHX 115 − 114
Nov 26, 2021at NYPHX 118 − 97

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 15at DET105 − 108L
Jan 13at MIA121 − 127L
Jan 11vs WSH112 − 93W
Jan 9vs NY112 − 107W
Jan 7at MEM117 − 98W
Jan 5at HOU97 − 100L
Jan 4vs OKC108 − 105W
Jan 2vs SAC129 − 102W
Dec 31, 2025at CLE113 − 129L
Dec 29, 2025at WSH115 − 101W

NY · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Jan 15at GS113 − 126L
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025at NO130 − 125W